March NAC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Monday, March 4, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Cleveland, OH - Cleveland, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PEVZNER Victoria 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
2 JING Emily 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
3 GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
3 SHEN Lydia 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 19% 3%
5 CHEN Jia P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
6 GUERRA Sofia E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
7 WONG Sophia M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 13%
8 LUNG Katerina 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
9 ZHANG Alina C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 28%
10 SOOD Ishani S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
11 PANT Anisha 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 32%
12 HAMZA Malak 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 44% 12%
13 CHO Rebecca H. 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
14 LEE Bethanie 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 47% 14%
15 CHUSID Mikayla 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
16 CANNON Lira J. 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
17 KOSTELNY Alexis 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 15%
18 ZHAO Sophie L. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
19 DAVIS Bonnie Z. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
20 YEN Natalie 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 18%
21 LI Rachel Y. 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 3%
22 TAKAMIZAWA Yukari 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
23 SUN Chien-Yu 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
24 KOSLOW Amicie 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 9% 1%
24 CHEN Allison V. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
26 NIKOLIC Alexandra 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23% 3%
27 TAN Kaitlyn N. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 9%
28 WANDJI Anais 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
29 NAMGALAURI Mariam 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 10%
30 SEO IRENE Y. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 4%
31 ROY Layla 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 2% -
32 WANG Chloe 100% 98% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
33 BATRA Chaahat 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 3%
34 SENIC Adeline 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
35 CHUNG Jaein 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28% 4%
36 TANG AI JIA 100% 98% 85% 53% 21% 4% -
37 HWANG Jungmin 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1%
38 ZHAO Aileen Y. 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 13% 2%
39 LEE Lavender 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
40 CHANG Elizabeth 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
41 EYER Hailey M. 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 22% 3%
42 TOM Caitlyn 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
43 SU Alena J. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
44 HU Felice 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8%
45 WU Celine 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
46 YU Nicole J. 100% 98% 82% 46% 13% 2% -
47 SIMONOV Dasha 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 4%
48 TUCKER ALARCON Frida 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
49 ORVANANOS Anice 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 2%
50 VAUGHAN Norah 100% 91% 57% 21% 4% - -
51 RANDOLPH Piper 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 8%
52 LEE Samantha X. 100% 98% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
53 LIN Victoria T. 100% 98% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
54 SHINKAREV Olga 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
55 LIN Zhi tong 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
56 SOLDATOVA Maria 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2% -
57 WANG Yudi 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
58 COOPER Piper W. 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
59 CHIRASHNYA Mika 100% 92% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
60 KAPUSTINA Arina 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
61 LIU Angel(Daying) 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 12%
62 GAMRADT Taylor 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
63 LIU Jaelyn A. 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% -
64 KULKARNI Sohah A. 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
65 UPTON Sydney 100% 98% 88% 63% 30% 8% 1%
66 NAIR Supriya 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
67 ZHUANG Christina 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 2%
68 NOVIKOV Allegra 100% 90% 55% 18% 3% - -
69 MI Aileen 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% 1% -
70 SHMAY Anastasia 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% - -
71 SHORI Samantha 100% 97% 76% 37% 8% 1% -
72 TAYLOR-CASAMAYOR Marisol 100% 63% 19% 2% - - -
73 ZHUANG Sophie 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% - -
74 ZHENG Julie 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 12% 1%
75 CUI Amy 100% 98% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
76 TRACZ Calleigh D. 100% 52% 11% 1% - - -
76 LI Sophia M. 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8% 1%
78 SHA Yi Ling 100% 87% 55% 23% 6% 1% -
78 BAWA Sahana 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
80 BASSIK Eva 100% 89% 53% 19% 4% - -
81 SKOURLETOS Maria 100% 71% 27% 5% - - -
82 HAN Ashley 100% 95% 68% 28% 6% 1% -
82 THOMAS Saejel 100% 28% 3% - - - -
84 LI Irina 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
85 POPOKH Aleksandra 100% 92% 66% 32% 9% 1% -
86 CHEN Chloe I. 100% 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1%
87 MANIKTALA Prisha 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% 1% -
88 WANG Jasmine 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% -
89 HAN Crystal 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 3% -
90 LUH Mia P. 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
90 TSANG Catherine 100% 79% 41% 13% 2% - -
92 DESOLA Lyla 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
93 SHIM Grace 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
94 ZHENG Zoe 100% 97% 72% 30% 6% 1% -
96 DESOLA Lucy 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
97 STEINHOBEL Jade 100% 91% 56% 18% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.