NJFA Fall Classic RYC & Non-Regional Junior and D1A

Y-12 Men's Saber

Saturday, November 23, 2024 at 3:00 PM

Rockland Community College - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KHANNA Adamantis 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 88%
2 MIAO Heqi 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
3 LAU Kyrus 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
3 KOZLOV Lucas 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32%
5 BEAL Colton 100% 96% 75% 32% 2%
6 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
7 KOREN George 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 38%
8 ALUF Brendon 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1%
9 LIANG Morgan 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 12%
10 LIM JUWANA Maximilian 100% 100% 92% 58% 10%
11 AVERY Marcus 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
12 BENNETT Lachlan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48% 4%
13 CHAN Ewan 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
14 BROOKS Drake 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 4%
15 STOLCKE Julian 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
16 ZALETAEV Jacob 100% 97% 75% 33% 6%
17 ARCHIBALD Zachary 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 36%
18 NARAYAN Rishi 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
19 PARK Sean 100% 93% 63% 23% 3%
20 O'KEEFE Brody 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
21 WANG Harrison 100% 99% 87% 58% 24% 6% 1%
22 LEIGH Brayden 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
23 HAHN EVER 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 7%
24 SHAPIRO Leo 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
25 BLAIR Campbell 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
26 TITOV Zachary 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
27 HU Simon 100% 99% 87% 53% 16% 2%
28 ZHANG Howard 100% 85% 49% 15% 2%
29 OGELE Joshua 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
30 MERZLYAKOV VLadimir 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
31 PARK Layne 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% 1%
32 KONG Ethan 100% 92% 56% 16% 2% -
33 TERENTIEV Michael 100% 93% 67% 29% 5%
34 MARTIRE Francis 100% 98% 87% 56% 23% 5% -
34 ALLEN Parker 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5% -
36 RAJMOHAN Syon 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
37 ZHANG Hanzhi 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 1% -
38 BORNHOLZ Lawrence 100% 97% 80% 41% 8% 1%
39 ZHERENOVSKY Alan 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% -
40 HONG Isaac 100% 96% 71% 27% 3% -
41 IP Hunter 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 30% 6%
42 VITALE Mateo 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
42 CHENG Shane 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% - -
42 LI Lucas 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
45 LI Sebastian 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2% -
46 LEE Shane Gunn 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
47 DAI Ethan 100% 72% 27% 4% -
48 CHEN Joshua 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
49 PARROCO Jacob 100% 88% 52% 16% 2%
50 LEE Jeffrey 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% -
51 BURNS Carson 100% 83% 46% 15% 2% -
52 PATEL Rohan 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
53 NGUYEN Brady 100% 98% 80% 44% 13% 2%
54 PALERMO Evan 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3%
55 HAZANOVICH Adam 100% 100% 94% 75% 40% 11% 1%
56 RAJ Adithya 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
57 KRISHNARASA Aiyann 100% 99% 91% 65% 31% 8% 1%
58 HUANG KIMBALL 100% 100% 95% 71% 25%
59 XU Jayden 100% 53% 13% 1% - -
59 CHEN Mark 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
61 LI Felix 100% 48% 12% 2% - - -
62 CHEN Tyler 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.