October NAC

Div I Men's Saber

Sunday, October 14, 2018 at 8:00 AM

Milwaukee, WI - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HOMER Daryl D. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
2 THOMPSON Khalil A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 36% 6%
3 SPEAR Jeff 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
3 WILLIAMS Grant W. 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
5 METRYKA Karol 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 7%
6 COHEN Josef A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
7 WALKER Christopher J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 39% 5%
8 DOLEGIEWICZ Filip 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 5% -
9 GUY Philippe 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
10 SHAINBERG Jonah L. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 4%
11 KOLASA Thomas M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 5%
11 SARON Mitchell S. 100% 100% 98% 84% 54% 20% 3%
13 DODDO Andrew 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
14 SOLOMON Daniel P. 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 21% 4%
15 SOUDERS Peter F. 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 22% 4%
16 FIELDS Malcolm D. 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 3%
17 MACKIEWICZ Andrew A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
18 COSTIN Michael V. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7%
19 LANDAU Nathaniel (Nat) B. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
20 IGOE Benjamin 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 8%
21 ARMIJO Gabriel K. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 5%
22 DI TELLA Pascual M. 100% 100% 99% 86% 53% 18% 3%
23 LEUNG Mark 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 11% 1%
24 LOSS Geoffrey M. 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 12% 1%
25 MOON Sean H. 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% 1%
26 CONTRERAS Alessandro 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
27 BIVINS III George A. 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
28 DESCHERER David 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
29 GOODE Matthew (Matt) G. 100% 98% 82% 45% 12% 1%
30 LORTKIPANIDZE Guram 100% 84% 42% 9% 1%
31 OSOLINIEC Victor E. 100% 99% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
32 FARFAN-BAYERL Inti 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
33 ELSISSY Ziad 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 5%
34 CAI Erwin 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
35 LINDER James (Luke) L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31%
36 CENTANNI Salvatore (Sal) M. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 3%
37 STONE Ben 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 9%
38 KUPANOFF Dimitri N. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
39 DEL VECCHIO Nicolas (None PLEASE) S. 100% 100% 99% 78% 34% 7% -
40 MERCHANT Marcel J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 6%
41 LEVITT Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 85% 43% 9% 1%
41 SHEPANEK Noah M. 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
43 PROCHNIAK Evan A. 100% 97% 83% 54% 24% 6% 1%
44 BIERNACKI Maciej L. 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
45 PANTELEEV Arsenii 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
46 KIM Charlson 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 8% 1%
47 SPEAR Will 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
48 MA Jonathan D. 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
49 LIU Jesse Y. 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% 1%
50 MULLENNIX Ethan M. 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
51 CHAN Zachary D. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 9%
52 HAMMER Peter A. 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 2%
53 ZHAO Raymond H. 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 7%
54 KULDELL Spencer D. 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1%
55 SMITH Jared C. 100% 88% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
56 BAK Daniel 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
56 WALKER Dalton F. 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% -
58 BACON Elias (Eli) H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 17%
59 KIM Brian S. 100% 84% 45% 12% 1% - -
60 TE VELDE Noah C. 100% 98% 82% 47% 16% 3% -
61 PARK Donghwan 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 16% 2%
62 KUSHKOV Simon O. 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
63 JOHNSON Zachary (Zack) C. 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
64 MERCHANT Julian T. 100% 96% 66% 21% 1%
65 CHOU Stephen C. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
66 CAMPBELL Colin B. 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
67 ATTIG Will T. 100% 100% 99% 91% 70% 35% 8%
68 MARSEE James 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 2%
70 LORTKIPANIDZE Nickoloz 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 22%
71 FLORES Gerardo (Gerardito) D. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
72 ROHRLACK Charles (Charlie) F. 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
73 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. 100% 98% 84% 56% 25% 6% 1%
74 DEMAREST Iain 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 26%
74 CHEN Andrew M. 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
76 SHIN Richard J.H. 100% 98% 84% 54% 23% 5% -
77 SCHMITT Trenton R. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
77 XU Ryan 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 21% 3%
79 HARLEY Colby A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
80 BARNETT Adam 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
81 TONG Qilin 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 30%
82 GEFELL Andrew P. 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
83 LIN John A. 100% 100% 99% 87% 51% 12%
84 CHOI HYUNSEOK 100% 100% 96% 73% 28%
85 DANNULL Lukas J. 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
86 KANARY Logan A. 100% 100% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1%
87 KIM Stephen E. 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
88 BOOTH Zaheer 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 19% 3%
89 PREVEY-SULLIVAN Owen D. 100% 93% 60% 23% 5% 1% -
90 BERGMAN Thomas C. 100% 97% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
91 DANNULL Linus N. 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
92 DRESSELL Wiley 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2% -
93 NADILE Henry V. 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
94 MEHTA Sachin N. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
95 OSTER Keegan J. 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
96 PRICE Jack S. 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 12% 2%
96 ZIELINSKI Nicholaus M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 15%
98 ZHOU Matthew R. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
99 DINU Nicholas D. 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
99 MIKA Casper 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
101 MULVANEY Alec S. 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
102 MATHEWS Stephen O. 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
103 COPELAND Oliver E. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
104 JOHNSON Andrew J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 15%
105 PRIEST Leighton K. 100% 82% 41% 10% 1% -
106 MCBRIDE Jackson R. 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
107 LEVITT Teddy H. 100% 99% 86% 53% 17% 2%
108 REN Junming 100% 96% 76% 39% 9%
109 SCHINDLER Zachary (Milo) 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
110 HARVEY Nicholas J. 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1%
111 SMITH David C. 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
112 KARAM Tariq A. 100% 92% 66% 32% 10% 2% -
113 WALKER III Alex 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
114 SHANAHAN Adam E. 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
114 DODRILL Grant 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
116 ERACHSHAW Taras P. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
117 AURAY Phileas 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 5% -
118 GREMILLION Ezekiel R. 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
119 JULIEN William A 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
120 CHEN Alan 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
120 CAPPELLUTI Ryan M. 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 4% -
120 CAI Lawrence (Larry) 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11% 1%
123 BUENAVENTURA Christian 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
124 HARLEY Sage N. 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1% -
125 RICHARDSON Andrew 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
126 SAKHAMURI Surya 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 16%
126 HEATHCOCK Colin 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
128 LAI Adam J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
129 WOOD Elden S. 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
130 RIGGINS Littleton K. 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% - -
130 PETWAY Justin E. 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1% -
132 HU William 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 7% 1%
133 HUSSAIN Faaris Zulfiqar 100% 95% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
134 RAMAN Easwer 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 2%
135 WILLIAMS Nolan E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
136 GOTTSCHALK Alexander P. 100% 95% 76% 44% 16% 3% -
137 SIERADZKY Dawson 100% 87% 49% 14% 2% -
138 HAN Nicholas 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% -
139 HEINTZ Evin Y. 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% -
140 BOLTON Dawson E. 100% 88% 54% 19% 3%
141 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 89% 53% 16% 3% - -
142 DENNER Lysander H. 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
143 CHAYEVSKY Kirk 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
144 RAINVILLE-POND Schuyler J. 100% 70% 23% 4% - - -
145 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. 100% 99% 89% 64% 32% 9% 1%
146 YEN Darren 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
147 KAUFMAN Bradley A. 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
148 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. 100% 90% 53% 17% 3% - -
149 HOLMES Aiden G. 100% 97% 83% 54% 23% 5% 1%
150 VACCARI Braden 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
151 HAYES Matthew T. 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
152 YOUNG Nash 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
153 QIU Le 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
154 MICHELL Bailey 100% 88% 50% 14% 2% - -
154 FEENEY Sean 100% 91% 62% 25% 5% - -
154 KANG Brandon M. 100% 79% 34% 5% - - -
154 TRAVAGLIONE Conor D. 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13% 1%
158 BARNETT Peter 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
159 BOLTON Braydon A. 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
160 VAULES Charles W. 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5% -
161 YUNGEBERG Tyler R. 100% 95% 66% 24% 3% - -
161 YEN Joshua C. 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
163 YAN Jack P. 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
164 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Akhil 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
165 LIMB Matthew G. 100% 100% 95% 70% 24% 3%
166 GRATHWOL-SEAR Sebastian 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 6%
167 GAFFNEY John M. 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% - -
168 LIM Ryan Y. 100% 90% 62% 28% 8% 1% -
169 CHANG Howard 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
169 WU Nicholas R. 100% 66% 19% 3% - - -
169 D'ORAZIO Joseph 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 15% 1%
172 BARTOLO Domenic V. 100% 100% 96% 75% 37% 7%
173 BURR Tanner B. 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
174 NOBLE Daniel 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% - -
175 FILS-AIME Jacob E. 100% 73% 24% 3% - - -
176 MOSKOWITZ Mason C. 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
176 YATES Colum C. 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.