Marin Fencing Academy - San Rafael, CA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | ROBINSON Samuel | V V V V V | V V V V V | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| 2 | CHANG Andrew | V V V V V | V V V V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 3 | SIM Ian | V V V V V | V V V D | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| 3 | PERALTA Christian | V V D D V | V V V D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 5 | ZANKOWSKI Brendan | V V V D V | V V D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 6 | GUO Woody | V D V V V | V V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 7 | MCLAREN Mason | V V V D D | V V D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 8 | YOUNG Quentin | V V D D D | V V D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 9 | WYATT Seth | V V V V D | V D | 4.6 | 4 | -0.6 |
| 10 | TOYOFUKU Ethan | D V V V V | V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 11 | WANG Devin | V V D V V | V D | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| 12 | CHEW Aedan | V D V V V | V D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 13 | COHEN Benjamin A. | V V D D V | V D | 4.7 | 3 | -1.7 |
| 14 | WONG Preston | D V V D V | V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 15 | NGUYEN Peyton | D D V V V | V D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 16 | LUONG Allen | D V D V D | V D | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| 17 | GANESH Maxen | D V V V V | D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 18 | HSU Joshua | V D V V V | D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 19 | LIN Shenghai | D D V V V | D | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| 20 | SIU Phoeland (Momo) M. | D V V D V | D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 21 | PIVOVAROV Lucas | V D V V D | D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 22 | DWIGGINS Reese | V D D V D | D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 23 | LIN Andrew | V D D D V | D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 24 | BECK Brian C. | D D V D V | D | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| 25 | MOLLINIER Angel | V D D V D | D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 26 | AIRES Julia | V D D V D | D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 27 | LIN Jason | D D D V D | D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 28 | BURGSTONE Benjamin | D V D D D | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 29 | LIU Aaron | D V D D D | V D | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| 30 | YUEN Elsie | D D D D D | V D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| 31 | LEE Valerie | D D D D D | V D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| 32 | BUJANOVER Maayan | D D D D D | V D | 0.2 | 0 | -0.2 |
| 33 | MCGUIRE Maximilien | D V D D D | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 34 | JACKSON Susana | D D V D D | D | 0.5 | 1 | +0.5 |
| 35 | HOFMAN Haejung | D D D D D | D | 2.6 | 0 | -2.6 |
| 36 | PERALTA Christian | D D D D D | D | 0.4 | 0 | -0.4 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.