Event Results
Holiday Open 2024Surprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | GOODMAN Elliott | V V D V V V V | V V V V | 4.3 | 6 | +1.7 |
| 2 | ZINITI-LAU Elena | V V V V V V | V V D | 3.9 | 6 | +2.1 |
| 3 | GOLDENBOGEN Simon | V V D V V V | V V D | 5.0 | 5 | - |
| 3 | LOPES Julia | V V V V V V V | V V D | 3.2 | 7 | +3.8 |
| 5 | MARCOUX Alexander | D D V V V V V | V D | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| 6 | GOODMAN Carden | V V D D V V | V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 7 | MACIK Axel | V V V D D V D | V D | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| 8 | GALLAGHER Miranda | D D V V D D | V D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 9 | BALCH Richard Trip | V V D D D D V | D | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| 10 | OMALLEY michael | D V D D V D | D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 11 | CROTHER-COLLADO Gabriela | D D D V V D D | D | 3.6 | 2 | -1.6 |
| 12 | LAMOREAUX Julie A. | D V D D D D | D | 3.8 | 1 | -2.8 |
| 13 | JONES Finn | D D D V D D | D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 14 | WHEELER Michele L. | D D V D D D D | D | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| 15 | SCHWETLICK Rafi | D D D D D D D | D | 3.1 | 0 | -3.1 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |