December SJCC + Para NAC

Junior Men's Saber

Saturday, December 7, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Georgia International Convention Center - Atlanta, GA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TSE Aiden J 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
2 KIM Ethan 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
3 QIU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
3 WANG Daniel 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
5 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
6 LIN Maxim 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
7 LIU Kevin 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
8 MUNGUIA Nathan 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 16%
9 YAO JINCHENG 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
10 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
11 ELBAKRY Ahmed 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 16%
12 SCHARDINE James 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 15%
13 LI Yiwei 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 15%
14 OH Aster 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
15 GONZALEZ Jake 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 30%
16 CHAVES Matthew J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
17 HWANG Jayden 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
18 ROE Finnegan 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 31%
19 YAO JINTAO 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
20 GILSHTEYN Jacob 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
21 YAN William 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 12%
22 ZHANG Derek 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
23 BIVIJI Ali 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
24 ANAND Rohan 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 36% 4%
25 MEHAN Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
26 HENDERSON Lucas 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 3% -
27 PATEL Rayn 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 18%
28 WONG Lucas 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
29 LEE Andrew 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 7%
30 WONG David 100% 99% 92% 66% 31% 7% 1%
31 MEYERSON Jacob 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 2%
32 ZHOU William 100% 99% 93% 70% 37% 11% 1%
33 FELDMAN Drew 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 13%
34 REN James 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
35 KALPATHY Rohit 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
36 YERRAMILLI Tejas 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
37 HOLZ Lucas 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 9%
38 ENGEL Peter 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 17%
39 ANAND Rishab 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
40 GREMILLION Obadiah 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
41 GONG Jerry 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
42 ATWOOD Griffin 100% 100% 93% 68% 29% 5%
43 KIM Theodore 100% 98% 83% 51% 17% 2%
44 LIN Felix 100% 98% 86% 52% 18% 3%
45 LEE Brady 100% 98% 75% 32% 4%
46 CAI Jeff 100% 97% 70% 27% 3%
47 GUAN Dennis 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
48 KIM Kendrick 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
49 CHEN Jonathan 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
49 GONG Alex 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25% 2%
51 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
52 RADY-PENTEK Charles A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 10%
53 SUN Andrew 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
54 ZHANG Yupeng 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 16%
55 WANG Will 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
56 LAUB William 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
57 SADHU Neiyam 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2%
58 LUAN Mark 100% 98% 75% 35% 8% 1%
59 MATTOO Surya 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
60 SHANKWILER Christopher 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
61 LIU Victor 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1%
62 DECK Tyson 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
63 WEI Rian 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% -
64 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
65 NGO Maximus 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
66 MATTOO Deven 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 13%
67 TIAGI Daniel 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
68 RADJABLI Maximillian 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
69 PANG Aidan 100% 100% 95% 71% 29% 4%
70 ZLATINSKI Jason 100% 97% 77% 39% 11% 2% -
71 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
71 ZHU Yuchen (Kevin) 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
73 TSAO Oliver 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
74 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
75 FANG Eason 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
76 BIAN Hongyu 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
77 CHUNG Connor 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 15%
78 YANG Phillip 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 5%
79 WANG HongXi 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
80 GU Kevin 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% - -
81 WANG William 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 4%
81 ZHAO Lucas 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 6%
81 XIA Matthew 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% 1% -
84 SHIPITSIN Alexander 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 21% 3%
85 CHTERENTAL Alex 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
86 VAROQUA Nalby 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
87 ZHAO Zhiyu(Yogi) 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
88 CHEN Samuel 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 17%
89 AROUNA Ilan 100% 90% 60% 25% 5% -
90 REHM Liam 100% 90% 53% 15% 2% -
91 SHINCHUK Daniel 100% 97% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
92 SO Preston 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 7%
93 YE Eric 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
94 MCGUIRE Christian 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
95 YAN Kevin 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 15%
96 EYSTER Edison 100% 95% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
97 YADAV Lakshya 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
98 GOLDIN Lucca 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 5%
99 SLEP Solomon 100% 98% 79% 43% 14% 2% -
100 HERNANDEZ Stanton 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
101 CLARK Aram 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
102 HOTHA Nikhil 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 2%
103 LI Ayden 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 2%
104 ZHAO Royce 100% 98% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
105 HARRINGTON Connor 100% 98% 78% 34% 5%
106 TIAGI George 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 7% 1%
106 SAKAYEDA Jacob 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
108 UEMOTO Ken 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
109 SASSI Ilyas 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% -
110 KATZ Ryan 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
111 FIRSTMAN William B. 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1%
112 O'LOUGHLIN Quinlan 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% -
113 ANDRES Michael 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 5%
114 ALMEDA Stanislav 100% 98% 81% 46% 13% 2% -
115 DEELY Hartigan 100% 91% 57% 21% 4% - -
115 MUNJULURI ruhaan 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 5% -
117 KITSON Chase 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8% 1%
118 QIN toby 100% 94% 64% 26% 6% 1% -
119 KANG Evan 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 11%
120 CRAIN Bennett 100% 93% 67% 33% 9% 1% -
121 AYDOGDU Hakan 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
122 MINASIAN Mason 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
123 WANG Max 100% 98% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
124 ZHEXUAN yu 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
125 CHAN Elliott 100% 73% 29% 6% 1% -
126 SILVA Joaquin 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% -
127 HU Harry 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
128 LIM Kai 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
129 KANG Matthew 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
130 PORTER Dupree 100% 100% 92% 67% 32% 9% 1%
131 BOLLU Viren 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
132 FENG Brendan 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% -
133 ZEWDA Kebron 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 5%
134 KOTVALI Aneesh 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
135 MCDONALD Finn 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
136 SZULIM Lucjan 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
137 CLARK Gabriel 100% 99% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1%
138 WANG Justin 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
139 POFF Kainoa 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
140 YE Ivan 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
141 SOWERS Samuel 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
142 KETT Richard 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
143 HO Jacob 100% 98% 86% 52% 17% 2%
144 AUTREY Adrien 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% -
145 GONG Gavin 100% 88% 51% 16% 3% -
146 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11%
147 LIGH Checed 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
148 BROENING-CHAI Jonas 100% 98% 77% 37% 9% 1%
149 KUSANAGI Soshi 100% 85% 45% 12% 2% -
150 LIEUWMA Nico 100% 83% 44% 12% 2% -
151 PEREIRA Beckham 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
152 WITCZAK Mateus 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 5% -
152 AO Christopher 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
154 YANG Justin 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
154 KUMAR Arjun 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
156 NGO Emerson 100% 77% 37% 10% 2% - -
157 WONG Caleb W. 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
157 SUBA Lucas 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 5%
159 DAWSON-TEECE Powell 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
160 BALU Aedan 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
161 KMETA-SUAREZ Graysen 100% 90% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
162 HUA Michael 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
163 TWEMLOW Sacha 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% - -
164 LIU Ethan 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
165 LORENZINI Samuel 100% 91% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
166 KHOTLINE Daniel 100% 58% 17% 2% - - -
167 LIU Yijin 100% 77% 37% 10% 2% - -
168 LIU Aaron 100% 93% 60% 19% 3% -
169 WAXLER Ryan 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
170 GERSTMANN Max T. 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
171 HUANG Maxwell H. 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1%
171 SOKOLOV Arseniy 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
173 BURGESS Beckham 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
174 KERCHER Alexander 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% -
175 LAZARTE Gabriel 100% 58% 16% 2% - -
176 IRWIN Peter 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 10% 1%
176 IYER Neil 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
178 KANIA Alexander 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% - -
179 POLEYUMPTEWA Connor 100% 93% 67% 30% 8% 1% -
180 CHAN Henry 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
181 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
182 KIM Samuel 100% 65% 24% 5% 1% - -
183 TSAO Alister 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% 1% -
184 ONG Dylan 100% 87% 50% 16% 3% - -
184 KURILO Michael 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
184 BRUSHABER Colin 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
187 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
187 NAMBIAR Navin 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% - -
189 LIU Daniel 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
190 XU Ivan 100% 99% 91% 63% 28% 6% 1%
191 VEDRE Neil 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 1% -
192 LIN Patrick 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
193 JIANG Terence 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
194 BRAMLETT Myer 100% 32% 4% - -
195 CHEN Lohen 100% 84% 49% 17% 4% - -
196 SEELMAN Cole 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
196 VILEMAITIS Tadas 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% - -
198 NAFTALI Ori 100% 29% 4% - - -
199 SUN Andy 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
200 MANNINO Miller 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
201 STOLL Fuller 100% 32% 5% - - - -
202 LIM Brandon 100% 99% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
202 TURNER Benjamin 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
204 DREWES James 100% 66% 23% 4% - -
205 CHEN Shawn 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.