Event Preview
October NACSaturday, October 30, 2021 at 1:45 PM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 4823 | 5181 - 4678 |
| 5 - 8 | 4620 | 4821 - 4424 |
| 9 - 16 | 4119 | 4305 - 4009 |
| 17 - 32 | 3833 | 3997 - 3686 |
| 33 - 64 | 3622 | 4188 - 3426 |
| 65 - 128 | 3171 | 3519 - 2841 |
| 129 - 156 | 2655 | 3135 - 2080 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.