Event Preview
October NACSunday, October 31, 2021 at 8:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 3807 | 3862 - 3764 |
| 5 - 8 | 3641 | 3681 - 3550 |
| 9 - 16 | 3457 | 3531 - 3349 |
| 17 - 32 | 3228 | 3304 - 3125 |
| 33 - 64 | 3000 | 3124 - 2839 |
| 65 - 128 | 2617 | 2834 - 2349 |
| 129 - 160 | 2133 | 2636 - 1395 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.