Event Preview
October NACSunday, October 31, 2021 at 8:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 3812 | 3854 - 3785 |
| 5 - 8 | 3633 | 3681 - 3549 |
| 9 - 16 | 3457 | 3512 - 3357 |
| 17 - 32 | 3226 | 3310 - 3125 |
| 33 - 64 | 2996 | 3124 - 2839 |
| 65 - 128 | 2615 | 2832 - 2349 |
| 129 - 161 | 2140 | 2636 - 1395 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.