2024 Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Cadet Men's Épée

Friday, December 20, 2024 at 11:00 AM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PARKER Isaiah 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50%
2 CHOI SEUNGWON 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 39%
3 LOISEAU Oscar 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
3 HERNDON Liam 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
5 SU Samuel 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
6 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 10%
6 PEREZ Daniel 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
8 WANG Jiacheng 100% 100% 95% 79% 46% 16% 2%
9 LIU Zicheng 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
10 LU Haoyang 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 10%
11 TRACY James 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 51% 15%
12 KIM Remington 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
13 MA Ryan 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
14 ZHANG Jonathan 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
15 XIE HanZhang (Elon) 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
16 MENG Haoyi 100% 95% 71% 33% 9% 1% -
17 VEERAVALLI Vivek 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
18 ADDLEMAN Joshua 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 20% 3%
19 VAN VACTER Thomas 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
20 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 3%
21 DINH Nam 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%
22 LI Grayson 100% 95% 74% 39% 13% 2% -
23 MOSLEY Wally 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 8% 1%
24 PALMARES Xavier 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
25 OLSON Joseph 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
25 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% - -
27 ZHANG Austin 100% 99% 94% 74% 42% 13% 2%
28 GOODMAN Benjamin 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 1%
29 SATISHKUMAR Pranav 100% 100% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
30 PARKS-GOOD Tyler 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
30 DEDMAN Dexter 100% 87% 54% 21% 4% - -
32 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
33 SOOS Whitman 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 25%
34 GRAHAM Jacob 100% 77% 37% 11% 2% - -
35 GRIGORENKO Gleb E. 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
36 CHEN Tianjun 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
37 MARENCIK Miles 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
38 RAHMAN Zayd 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
38 MA Ciel 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
40 BUHLER Isaac 100% 98% 81% 48% 18% 4% -
41 GREENMAN Duke 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
42 NEWSOM Finn 100% 89% 54% 19% 4% - -
43 TUMULA Arihaan 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
44 RAHMAN Ali 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
45 SEYMOUR Phoenix 100% 98% 80% 43% 13% 2% -
46 QIU William 100% 50% 13% 2% - - -
47 HUA Nolan 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
48 HUANG Ethan 100% 72% 30% 6% 1% - -
49 KNYSH IURII 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.