2025 BFC Youth Series 2

E & Under Y-14 Men's Épée

Monday, December 30, 2024 at 8:30 AM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SZCZAPA Lukas 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
2 PARIGIAN Alexander 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
3 WANG-SONG Evan 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
3 ROBINSON Garrett 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
5 HANNA Alexander 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
6 MOZZER Nolan 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
7 MANUEL Eli 100% 100% 94% 70% 28%
8 FAUCHER James 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 4%
9 LEE Harrison 100% 99% 90% 57% 15%
10 CHEN Daniel 100% 94% 65% 24% 3%
11 SONPAL Winslow 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
12 HOLBROOK Silas 100% 90% 56% 18% 2%
13 ROFINO Samuel 100% 65% 22% 3% -
14 BEAULIEU Edmund 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
15 ASHLEY Logan 100% 100% 97% 78% 35%
16 CHAVES Evan 100% 93% 67% 31% 7% 1%
17 TANG Luke 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4%
18 HAN Nathan 100% 83% 43% 11% 1%
19 SHI Evan 100% 84% 44% 12% 1%
20 WILLIAMS Gavin 100% 76% 33% 8% 1% -
21 YOON Jonathan 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
22 RICHARDS Jack 100% 99% 90% 58% 16%
23 HOLCOMB Liam 100% 88% 50% 13% 1%
24 LI Jayden 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% -
25 CIANCHETTA David 100% 79% 36% 9% 1% -
26 RICHARDSON Matthew 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
27 MA Brendon 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
28 BENNETT Nathaniel 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.