2024 TCFC December Challenges

Senior Mixed Foil

Tuesday, December 31, 2024 at 9:00 AM

Twin Cities Fencing Club - St. Paul, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 HOPKINS Dylan 100% 100% 94% 72% 38% 11% 2% -
2 DING Zilin 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8% -
3 MADSEN Lindsey 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 9% 1%
3 JARCHO Beckett 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 21%
5 POLYZOIS Alkis 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1% -
6 WOJTALEWICZ Aiden 100% 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
7 BUENAFLOR Jeffrey P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68% 14%
8 HEUER Weston 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
9 NARANJO David E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 12%
10 NEPAL Noukou Asha 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
11 CHRISTENSEN Jack 100% 99% 91% 68% 36% 12% 2% -
12 WINTERS Linus 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
13 LEGGETT Emilia 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% - -
14 BUTLER Aurelius 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 44% 13%
15 RANGARAJAN Saanvi 100% 92% 50% 14% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.