Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | CHEN Oscar | V V V V V D | V V V V V | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 2 | WOODWARD Connor | V D V V V D | V V V V D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| 3 | FERNANDEZ Rodrigo | V V V V V V | V V V D | 5.5 | 6 | +0.5 |
| 3 | SHOMAN Noah | V V V V D V | V V V D | 3.2 | 5 | +1.8 |
| 5 | CHAN Matthew | V V V V V V | V V D | 5.0 | 6 | +1.0 |
| 6 | TONG ZACHARY | V V V D V V | V V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 7 | SIMAK Joseph P. | V V V V V D | V V D | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| 8 | CHIN Matthew W. | V V D V V V | V V D | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| 9 | SHTEYN Mark | V V V V V | V D | 2.5 | 5 | +2.5 |
| 10 | NAZLYMOV Andrei | V V V D V V | V D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 11 | LE Hayden | D V V V V | V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 12 | SHERWOOD Hayden F. | V D V V D V | V D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 13 | LEE Justin | D V D V V V | V V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 14 | GREENBAUM Ian L. | V D V V V D | V V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 15 | HUCHWAJDA Marcel | V V D V D | V V D | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| 16 | MCCARTHY Gabriel | D V D D D D | V V D | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| 17 | SHOMAN Zachary | V V D V V V | D | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| 18 | BERRIO Carter E. | V V V D V | D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 19 | FENG Leo | V D V V V | D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 20 | DENG Andrew | V D V V V D | D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 21 | CHAVES Matthew J. | D V V D V V | D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 22 | LEE Aydan J. | V D V D V V | V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 23 | HONG Steven | V V V D D | V D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 24 | BABAYEV Gabriel A. | V D V D V D | V D | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| 25 | REN James | D V D D V | V D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 26 | MEHTA Krish | V D D D D V | V D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 27 | ETIN Ari | D D V D V D | V D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 28 | YEE Evan J. | V V D D D D | V D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 29 | ZENG Noah | D D D V D | V D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| 30 | CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. | D D V D D | V D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 31 | KIM Shaun M. | D D D V D D | V D | 4.1 | 1 | -3.1 |
| 32 | HU Christopher | D D D V D D | V D | 3.8 | 1 | -2.8 |
| 33 | OH Triton | D V D V D V | D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 34 | LIU Mingyang Ryan | D V D V V D | D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| 35 | GAO Andrew | D V D V D V | D | 1.7 | 3 | +1.3 |
| 36 | CHEN Jia Tao | D V D D D V | D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 37 | ZHANG Derek | V D V D D D | D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 38 | BENNETT III Carl | D D V D V D | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 39 | BUKOWSKI Broghan J. | D D D D V | D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 40 | MAHAPATRA SAMARTH | D D D V D | D | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| 41 | WANG Andrew | V D D D D | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 42 | GAUVEY Kieran | D D V D D D | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 43 | HEANEY Sam | D D D D D V | D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 44 | YEE Ethan C. | D D D D V D | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 45 | LEONARD Charles | D D D D D D | D | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| 46 | LARRAZOLO Vincent | D D D D D D | D | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| 47 | MEYTIN Maxwell S. | D D D D D D | D | 0.3 | 0 | -0.3 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.