International Regional Circuit Guangzhou

Cadet Men's Foil

Sunday, December 29, 2024 at 8:00 AM

ChimeLong Tourist Resort Area Convention/Conference Center - None

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	CHOI JIAN	-	1%	11%	37%	41%	10%	< 1%
2	YE Neilson	-	-	-	1%	11%	50%	38%
3	ZHOU Jingxiong	-	-	-	-	7%	43%	50%
3	PENG Lekai	-	-	-	1%	15%	55%	29%
5	LEONG Chit Seong	-	-	2%	12%	39%	47%
6	MENG Fanlu	-	-	-	1%	12%	48%	39%
7	ZOU QINGCHU	-	1%	8%	26%	37%	24%	5%
8	CHENG Bob	-	-	1%	6%	26%	46%	21%
9	HUANG Holmes (Shengheng)	1%	9%	24%	32%	24%	9%	1%
10	XIA Yimiao	-	1%	4%	17%	33%	33%	12%
11	TSE Ngon Yin Anson	-	2%	13%	31%	34%	17%	3%
12	LEE JISUNG	10%	31%	36%	19%	5%	1%	-
13	TAN Junghyun	-	-	5%	22%	37%	28%	8%
14	CHONG Jun Yu Aaron	-	3%	19%	45%	28%	5%	-
15	GAO Zhiyang	-	1%	10%	30%	40%	17%	1%
16	LEE Aiden Yunhyung	1%	6%	21%	34%	28%	10%	1%
17	JUNYU BAO	-	-	-	1%	9%	36%	54%
18	LEE SIYUN	10%	39%	37%	13%	2%	-	-
19	HUANG Eric	-	-	-	3%	20%	45%	32%
20	MANKOWSKI Elliott	-	2%	15%	38%	37%	8%
21	GONG Nigel	1%	9%	32%	39%	16%	2%
22	CHEN Zourui	1%	14%	38%	35%	12%	1%
23	ZOU Aaron	-	1%	8%	28%	41%	20%	2%
24	SO GERALD	-	1%	9%	36%	44%	10%	1%
25	GUAN Greg	9%	40%	37%	12%	2%	-	-
26	CHEN Bolin Liam	1%	8%	23%	33%	25%	9%	1%
27	LU Hongyu	-	2%	12%	28%	33%	20%	5%
28	KO Cheuk Yip	2%	12%	30%	34%	18%	4%	-
29	LI ZONGLIN	-	1%	5%	17%	33%	32%	12%
30	ZHOU Xiaowei	1%	7%	23%	34%	25%	9%	1%
31	WAN Pak Kiu Carson	5%	25%	40%	24%	5%	-	-
32	WANG Michael	-	3%	18%	35%	30%	12%	2%
33	GUO Jiaxi	5%	33%	42%	17%	3%	-	-
34	CHEN CHUNG-YU	14%	34%	33%	15%	4%	-	-
35	LEONG Wilson Hua	18%	47%	30%	4%	-	-	-
36	SUMIN Yang	1%	11%	34%	38%	14%	1%	-
37	CHENG li	4%	31%	41%	20%	4%	-
38	CHANG Wonwoo	13%	34%	33%	16%	4%	1%	-
39	CHIN MinSeop	60%	33%	6%	-	-	-	-
40	PALAFOX Lucas	4%	26%	41%	24%	5%	-	-
41	NA James Eunchan	-	5%	24%	41%	25%	5%	-
42	KIM Taehyun	17%	43%	33%	7%	1%	-	-
43	HUANG Junhang	2%	12%	30%	34%	18%	4%	-
44	SEO Juwan	74%	24%	3%	-	-	-
45	HO Evan Isaiah	12%	32%	34%	17%	5%	1%	-
46	HAN JIAYI	35%	43%	19%	4%	-	-	-
47	PARK JUSTIN SEOJUN	47%	39%	12%	2%	-	-	-
48	WANG Yanzhi	19%	42%	30%	8%	1%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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