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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Fairfax Challenge SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-14 Women's Épée

Saturday, September 21, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SEMIKIN Julia 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 18%
2 JAKEL Sophia N. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
3 TOLBA Salma 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
3 GAJJALA Sharika R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 30%
5 DOROSHKEVICH Victoriia 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 41%
6 REID Anousheh 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 9%
7 DESAI Meera P. 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
8 CHANG Ella 100% 99% 85% 47% 11% 1%
9 YANG Alisa 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% < 1%
10 KIM Zoe L. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11%
11 CHERNYSHOVA Victoria 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 50% 14%
12 PAPADAKIS Lily 100% 100% 95% 77% 46% 16% 2%
13 CHERNIS Zoe C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 28%
14 CHENG Ava 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
15 FURMAN Maria 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
16 LEACH Meka A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 7%
17 LEE Yedda 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 26%
18 PEELER Julia 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
19 ZHU Serene M. 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 7% 1%
20 ZIGALO Elizabeth 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 23% 4%
21 LI Suri 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
22 KORFONTA Jolie 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
23 LU Samantha R. 100% 98% 80% 39% 9% 1%
24 DREFKE Sigrid 100% 68% 22% 3% - -
25 ZENG Katrina 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
26 KEE Bea Isabelle 100% 94% 58% 18% 3% -
27 HU Chelsea 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
28 NIEMAN Aubrey 100% 82% 46% 16% 3% - -
29 WITTER Catherine A. 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 3% -
30 RABASCO Lexi 100% 90% 51% 14% 2% - -
31 YOU Isabel B. 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
32 LIU Nicole 100% 73% 27% 4% - -
33 KOKES Ava 100% 100% 94% 67% 27% 4%
34 CHAWLA Aanya 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
35 HOSANAGAR Inchara 100% 34% 5% - - -
36 IVY Zhao 100% 98% 83% 41% 8% -
37 CASPAR Margot 100% 60% 18% 3% - - -
38 JAKEL Alysa C. 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
39 NIEMAN Anjolie 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2% -
40 BARCLAY Khyri 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.