Fairfax Challenge SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-12 Women's Saber

Saturday, September 21, 2019 at 12:00 PM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 HE Lizbeth 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
2 ANTHONY Alexia B. 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
3 XU Emily T. 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
3 NATH Trisha 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
5 BEVACQUA Aria F. 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
6 DENG Brooke 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 6%
7 FESTA Carina 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1%
8 YOUNG Charlotte G. 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4%
9 SO Catelyn 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
10 YOUNG Audrey 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6%
11 XU ALINA 100% 94% 66% 24% 3% -
12 KRIVOSHEEV Alexandra 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
13 YUN Emma 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% -
14 CHEN Kevy 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
15 LIU Sophie 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
16 JEONG Katie 100% 98% 80% 41% 11% 1%
17 HENRY Soraya S. 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2%
18 WEI JoyAnn 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% -
19 CANSECO Carly 100% 99% 88% 55% 17% 1%
20 XU Cathleen 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
21 HAMMERSTROM Aria 100% 95% 73% 36% 8% -
22 ELNATAN Mica A. 100% 95% 73% 37% 9% 1%
23 BUSH Divina 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1%
24 VIEIRA DA MOTTA MOLLICA Camila 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
25 LATYSHAVA Stephanie 100% 99% 94% 70% 29% 5%
26 BUSH Bethany 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
27 WAN Alice 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
28 FOWLER Amaia 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
28 CAO Sophie 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
30 BOYNTON Ainsley 100% 85% 37% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.