Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | CHEN Oscar | V D D V V | V V V V V V | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| 2 | BENAVRAM Lev C. | V V V V V V | V V V V D | 5.7 | 6 | +0.3 |
| 3 | HAMMERSTROM Jared | V D V V V | V V V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 3 | FERNANDEZ Rodrigo | D V D V V | V V V V D | 4.2 | 3 | -1.2 |
| 5 | JARAMILLO Tobias L. | V V V V V | V V D | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| 6 | SIMAK Joseph P. | D V V V V | V V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 7 | GILMORE Thomas W. | V V D V V | V V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 7 | WOLFE-MCGUIRE George T. | V V D V V | V V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 9 | PAN Andrew W. | V V V V V | V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 10 | SHTEYN Mark | V V V V V | V D | 3.0 | 5 | +2.0 |
| 11 | HARGENRADER Kailen A. | V D V V V V | V D | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| 12 | KENNEDY Liam A. | V V D V V | V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 13 | XUE ALEXANDER | V V V D V | V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 14 | BERRIO Carter E. | V D V D V | V V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 15 | CHAVES Matthew J. | D V V D D | V V D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| 16 | LEE Justin | V D D D V | V V D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 17 | DENG Andrew | V V D V V V | D | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| 18 | FENG Leo | D V V V V V | D | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 19 | WOODWARD Connor | V D V V V | D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 20 | JOHNSON Langston C. | V D V V V | D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 21 | GRASS James D. | V V V D V D | V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 22 | ZENG Noah | D V V V D | V D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 23 | LE Hayden | D V V V D | V D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 24 | CHIN Matthew W. | D V V V D | V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 25 | TONG ZACHARY | D V V V D | V D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 26 | LEONARD Charles | V V V D D | V D | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| 27 | KIM Shaun M. | D D V V D | V D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 28 | FORT David | D V V D D | V D | 1.3 | 2 | +0.7 |
| 29 | COX Luis E. | V D V D D | V D | 1.2 | 2 | +0.8 |
| 30 | YEE Evan J. | D D D V V D | V D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 31 | NAZLYMOV Andrei | D D D D V | V D | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| 32 | ETIN Ari | D V D D D | V D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 33 | CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. | D V D V V D | D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| 34 | BALDWIN Michael B. | V V D D D V | D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 35 | HONG Steven | D V D D V | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 36 | MEHTA Krish | V D D D V | D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 37 | WANG Andrew | D V V D D D | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 38 | GREENBAUM Ian L. | D D D V D V | D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 39 | MCCARTHY Gabriel | D D D V V D | D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 40 | LOWHAM-RUZZO Alexander J. | D D D V D | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 41 | SHERWOOD Hayden F. | V D D D D | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 42 | GAO Andrew | V D D D D | D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 43 | MOLINARO Lawrence | D V D D D D | D | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| 44 | BENNETT III Carl | D D V D D D | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 45 | BAERMAN Michael | V D D D D D | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 46 | REN Richard | D D D D D | D | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| 47 | LIU Mingyang Ryan | D D D D D | D | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| 48 | COSGROVE Connor R. | D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| 49 | LARRAZOLO Vincent | D D D D D | D | 0.4 | 0 | -0.4 |
| 50 | HOLDEN Joseph | D D D D D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 | |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.