January NAC

Vet-40 Men's Saber

Saturday, January 4, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Kansas City Convention Center - Kansas City, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GREENE Joseph T. 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
2 TSUNG David 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
3 REFAEE Ahmed H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
3 FERRARO Pietro 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 13%
5 KALLIO Jeffrey E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 70%
6 PLONKA Derek 100% 100% 95% 73% 31% 4%
7 CHANG William 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 1%
8 ZONG Yujie 100% 92% 62% 24% 4% - -
9 SEIDEL Jonathan J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 45%
10 DIRSMITH Benjamin J. 100% 100% 99% 84% 43% 8%
11 ZHU Shirui 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2% -
12 MAUREL Nicolas 100% 97% 80% 40% 9% 1%
13 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 96% 65% 22% 3%
14 LIU Jerry 100% 100% 98% 77% 34% 5%
15 MILLER Douglas S. 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 10%
16 TERENTIEV Max 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 7% -
17 ROBLES Julio C. 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 2%
18 PINTO Augusto 100% 73% 26% 4% - -
19 MOODY Paul J. 100% 84% 47% 14% 2% -
20 MILLS Matthew P. 100% 85% 22% 2% - -
21 BROWN Jeremy 100% 70% 27% 5% - - -
22 SUTHERLAND Jr. Richard L. 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% - -
23 WANG Albert 100% 69% 23% 3% - -
24 HERNDON Jameson D. 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
25 WILLIAMS Brian 100% 25% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.