January NAC

Div I Women's Épée

Monday, January 6, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Kansas City Convention Center - Kansas City, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NIXON Catherine (Kasia) D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95%
2 PIRKOWSKI Amanda L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
3 XUAN Nicole J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 10%
3 RAKHOVSKI Alexandra 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
5 LEE Sumin 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
6 TOBY Natalia R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80%
7 GUZZI VINCENTI Margherita A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75%
8 BECKMAN Ana 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
9 SWENSON Nikita G. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
10 HUSISIAN Hadley N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 79%
11 XIONG Angelica 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 13% 1%
12 LEE Scarlett 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
13 MARCHANT Sandra M. 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 6%
14 YANG Alisa 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 2%
15 CAFASSO Natalya 100% 100% 93% 68% 30% 6%
16 CHIN Isabella 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
17 SPRINGER Sierra 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
18 LEE Olivia 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 10%
19 SMUK Alexandra S. 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
20 SHIV Avni 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
21 WANG Zoe 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
22 LI Olivia 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
23 SMOTRITSKY Mia 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 23% 3%
24 FALLON Kyle R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
25 SMUK Daria A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
26 STEWART Tatijana I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
27 YAO Melinda 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
28 WAT Chok Weng 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 23%
29 GUO Luxi 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 7%
30 SU Evelyn 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1%
31 KOZLOWSKI Maya M. 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 15% 1%
32 PROFIS Liora 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
33 NIXON Caroline (Karolina) L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
34 WITTER Catherine A. 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
35 YILMAZ Pinar 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
36 SEREGIN Katya 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3%
37 XU Serena 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
38 RUNIONS Emersyn 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 26% 5%
39 JIN Zhengtian 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
40 SHEFFIELD Lake Mawu 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 21%
41 TOLSMA Chloe (CJ) 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
42 AI Amy 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
43 YANG Hanting(Catherine) 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2% -
44 ILYAS Ayah 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
45 SUICO Kyubi Emmanuelle 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
46 GORNOVSKY Abigail 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 1%
47 MONOVA Lilyana 100% 93% 65% 26% 4% -
48 XU Jessica 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
49 LI Judy 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
50 MCGLADE Jasmine 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% -
51 AZMEH nour 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
52 CARRIER Meredith 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 15% 2%
53 NEMETH Katherine 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
53 SONG Angela 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
55 STERR Isabella M. 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5% -
56 WU Michelle 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
57 CHI Chelsea 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
58 WELLS Tesla M. 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
59 YOU Emily 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
60 LEE Camilla 100% 82% 38% 9% 1% -
61 ZHENG Evelyn 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 3%
62 XIAO Nancy 100% 88% 51% 16% 3% -
63 SUN Hanya 100% 95% 73% 35% 7% -
64 SOBUS Yanka 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 8% 1%
65 ZIGALO Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 49%
66 NGUYEN Audrey 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 14%
67 KUMAR Eva 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
68 NGUYEN Tallulah 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 11%
68 CAMPBELL Eva 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 8% 1%
70 FOELLMER Kristin 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 15%
71 RICHARDSON Meredith 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
72 GAO Judy 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5% -
73 MARTYNOVA Diana 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%
74 LAI Amanda 100% 98% 83% 50% 15% 2%
75 LIANG Jingjing 100% 86% 52% 19% 3% -
76 PRIHODKO Nina 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5%
77 LI Fei 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% -
78 CHISHOLM Phoebe C. 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 7%
79 GOH Cayla 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
80 WANG Ziqi (yoyo) 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3%
80 KALGAONKAR Arohi 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1%
82 WANG Jessie 100% 95% 72% 34% 7% -
83 ABUELFUTUH Sama 100% 97% 82% 51% 21% 4% -
84 BUSH emma 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14% 1%
85 WATTANAKIT Anda 100% 100% 95% 76% 36% 6% -
86 BALAKRISHNAN Trisha 100% 97% 78% 39% 10% 1% -
87 JOYAL Anne-Sophie 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
88 KIM Zoe L. 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
89 PHUKAN Indra 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
89 IYER Ishana 100% 95% 64% 25% 5% 1% -
91 KAUR Manroop 100% 94% 65% 26% 5% - -
92 WANG Angelina 100% 93% 59% 20% 3% - -
93 PRESMAN Aerin 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
94 DEPOMMIER-GONZALEZ Isabelle 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% -
95 KANASKAR Ila 100% 85% 49% 16% 2% -
96 CAMAMA Tessa 100% 99% 86% 54% 19% 3%
97 LEE Claire 100% 98% 84% 50% 14% -
98 ZHAN Clare 100% 56% 16% 2% - -
99 SWENSON Alexandra 100% 60% 17% 2% - -
99 QI Jarynne Valerie 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
101 KUNJAN Lena R. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
102 MONTOYA Kimberlee C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
103 WEBER Nora 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
103 DAHER Yasmine 100% 99% 84% 49% 17% 3% -
105 LIN Ariel 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% 1% -
106 XU Celina 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% - -
107 SYKES Elynor 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
108 MENDOZA zoie 100% 92% 65% 30% 9% 1% -
109 LAWSON Marie A. 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 22% 2%
109 CHEN Stephanie 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
111 SCHOR Elisabeth 100% 87% 53% 18% 3% - -
112 BO GENESIS 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
113 YOUNG VIVIAN 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 2%
114 CHIRASHNYA Mika 100% 70% 27% 5% - -
115 KROPP Anne 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% -
116 AIRES Julia 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
117 WALTER Anna 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% -
118 GUAN Isabella 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% -
119 ELTERMAN Kate 100% 85% 47% 13% 1% -
120 DESANTIS-IBANEZ Elena 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% -
121 WANG Victoria 100% 95% 71% 31% 5% -
122 HANSEN Kira 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 11%
123 MCCOY Lauren 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 1%
124 MARTINEZ Christina 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% - -
125 NELSON Grace E. 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
126 HABEK Sophia 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% 1% -
127 PAN Angela 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
128 KUDRYAVTSEVA Margarita 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
129 BEAVER Ava 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
130 SMOTRITSKY Liat 100% 90% 57% 22% 5% - -
131 FREEMAN Kit 100% 60% 17% 3% - - -
132 KENT Laurel 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
133 QI Julieanne 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% -
134 DALEY Keira 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 2%
135 FENG Iris 100% 38% 6% - - - -
136 HUANG Lanlan 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
137 ZHUANG Lauren 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
138 WANG Ziqiao (Claire) 100% 83% 39% 10% 1% - -
139 WONG Caitlin 100% 61% 19% 3% - -
140 ZHU Riley 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% -
141 SUN Karolyn 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
142 MURPHY Katherine 100% 67% 26% 5% 1% - -
143 HOFMAN Haejung 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.