January NAC

Vet-40 Men's Épée

Monday, January 6, 2025 at 8:30 AM

Kansas City Convention Center - Kansas City, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MAKMATOV Vadim 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 8%
2 STEPHAN Jens 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
3 HURME Tommi K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 24%
3 PHO Eric 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 7%
5 MACZIK Adam W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 21%
6 YAMASAKI Kyle A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 32%
7 CARTER Austin L. 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
8 HALLMAN Nicholas (Nick) J. 100% 99% 93% 67% 29% 5%
9 LINDBLOM Ian P. 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
10 CHRISTY Peter C. 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 10% 1%
11 ZUCKER Noah L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 25%
12 HORAN Sean T. 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 13%
13 OLIVERIUS Joseph W. 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 6%
14 CHANDLER Paul F. 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
15 FIEDERLEIN Andrew M. 100% 99% 89% 57% 17% 2% -
16 MENDOZA Zandro 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
17 MANDOKI Sandor I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49% 11%
18 EDMUNDS Michael 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 9% 1%
19 LIOU Solomon 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 4%
20 FERKO Philip J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 31%
21 MORET Eric N. 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% 1% -
22 PEI Suyang 100% 60% 17% 2% - -
23 CHU Brandon A. 100% 69% 24% 4% - -
24 CHIANG Andrew 100% 89% 53% 15% 2% - -
25 GUERRERO Guillermo 100% 83% 42% 10% 1% - -
26 STOCK Jordan 100% 97% 73% 32% 7% 1% -
27 PAI Dong-Ying 100% 94% 66% 26% 5% - -
28 CARTER Rodney 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
29 LEWIS-RAMIREZ Ben 100% 64% 21% 3% - - -
30 EVERT Todd 100% 85% 44% 12% 2% -
31 COLE Matthew 100% 79% 35% 8% 1% -
32 REED David 100% 76% 32% 6% - - -
33 RHEA Eric L. 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.