Future Stars Senior Foil New Year's Cup

Div III Women's Foil

Saturday, January 11, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Future Stars Fencing - Flushing, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 PEVZNER Sophia 100% 99% 94% 72% 38% 11% 1%
2 KO Darby 100% 100% 97% 84% 57% 25% 6% 1%
3 WAN Celine 100% 100% 96% 81% 53% 22% 5% -
3 LIU Yinuo 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 4%
5 MENDEZ Ingrid 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 30% 4%
6 LAWRENCE Nia 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 43% 10%
7 MAIMON Simone 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% - -
8 PAZ Maria Victoria 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 3% -
9 GOLDBERG Talia 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 11% 2% -
10 PELLE Lia 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
11 MERCADO Madilyn 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 4%
12 CHUNG-FEDER Adeline 100% 78% 40% 12% 2% - -
13 LAM Anna 100% 100% 98% 89% 66% 34% 10% 1%
14 YANG Dan 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
15 VILLANTI Juliet 100% 99% 90% 67% 36% 12% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.