2025 SPA Invitational

Unrated Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, January 12, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Macalester Field House - St. Paul, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ROWLAND Marsden 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 21%
2 MISHRA Milan 100% 21% 1%
3 SIEDOW William 100% 93%
4 MORRIS Samuel 100% 100% 99% 90% 44%
5 TAHA Raymond 100% 70% 3%
6 TUCKER Brady 100% 100% 95%
7 HALULA Frank 100% 90% 59% 22% 3% -
8 SAWYER David 100% 98% 74% 13%
9 NOONEY Tatum 100% 96% 66% 16% 1%
10 SANFORD Wesley 100% 75% 17% 1%
11 STENZEL Henry 100% 32% -
12 MINGO Joshua 100% 100% 94% 68% 22%
13 CAVEN Henry 100% 88% 50% 13% 1% -
14 ELDRIDGE Hudson 100% 87% 43% 10% 1%
16 SHANKS Michael 100% 100% 93% 66% 24% 3%
20 WILLER Ryan 100% 7%
21 MIEST Davis 100% 95% 42%
25 LATTIN Thomas 100% 100% 95% 65%
26 FOSTER Finnegan 100% 51% 10% 1%
29 ZHANG Eric 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
31 SMITH Connor 100% 52% 12% 1% -
32 MILLER Cole 100% 99% 78% 37% 8% -
35 ERBSEN David 100% 94% 47%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.