2025 SPA Invitational

Unrated Junior Men's Saber

Sunday, January 12, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Macalester Field House - St. Paul, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 CHEN Jeffrey 100% 98% 71%
2 WALI Kaden 100% 98% 65%
3 MOKBEL Yassin 100% 84% 41% 8%
4 LIU Alvin 100% 99% 90% 64% 26% 3%
6 KWAN Victor 100% 84% 44% 12% 1% -
9 COVER Dylan 100% 80% 30% 5% < 1%
10 UNGLAUB Dashiell 100% 49% 7%
11 JONES Greg 100% 94% 60% 12%
12 GORDON Jack 100% 100% 95% 64% 9%
12 HE Ethan 100% 66% 9%
14 COX Liam 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
16 HEUER Jeffrey 100% 78% 34% 5%
17 TOTIN Maxwell 100% 90% 27%
18 KAISER Logan 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
20 PESKIN Jason 100% 100% 99% 89% 49%
21 RUBENSTEIN Desmond 100% 19% 1%
23 SAVAGE James 100% 98% 73% 25% 3%
24 HUELSTER Howard 100% 100% 94% 67% 28% 5%
25 MIKETIC Adam 100% 95% 68% 22%
27 SHERMAN Isaac 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1%
29 GOLDBAUM Louis 100% 63% 18% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.