21st Annual Will Fence For Food & 2025 FenceAthlon

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, January 11, 2025 at 8:30 AM

Wasatch Fencing - Kaysville, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JEFFERY Jakob 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 11%
2 THOMSON Hyrum 100% 99% 94% 71% 35% 8% 1%
3 DELISLE Jonas 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
3 CHRISTENSEN Parker 100% 99% 85% 40% 8% 1%
5 LITTLE Alex 100% 88% 50% 16% 2% -
6 WALLAK Jesse 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
7 RIGBY Ellie 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 2%
8 MADSEN Eric 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 27%
9 FERGUSON Jason 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
10 FERGUSON Aliya 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2% -
11 MERRIAM Isaiah 100% 100% 98% 81% 40% 8%
12 PADDOCK Hannah 100% 56% 13% 1% - -
13 NORRIS Erin 100% 93% 61% 17% 2% -
14 BISHOP Jarrett 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
15 SEAL Ayda 100% 97% 71% 31% 7% 1%
16 AMIN Eli 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% - -
17 DAVIDSON James 100% 81% 32% 5% - -
18 FRISCHKNECHT Annie 100% 99% 87% 53% 18% 2%
19 WARD Kellon 100% 98% 85% 58% 26% 7% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.