Nittany Lion Cup ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Saturday, January 11, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Nittany Valley Sports Centre - State College, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 REN Katherine 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
2 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
3 ZHANG Ashley 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
3 TA-ZHOU Sophia 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 32% 5%
5 CANARAN Daphne M. 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
6 WANG MONA 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
7 ZHANG Nikki 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 3%
8 VARAH Alaia 100% 97% 77% 38% 10% 1%
9 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 100% 92% 64% 26% 5% - -
10 SHRESTHA Arya 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 1%
11 ARORA Rhiya 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
12 LASS Genevieve 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 2%
13 CHANG Grace 100% 84% 48% 15% 3% - -
14 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% -
15 SAXENA Devina Shyamli 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
16 AVATAPALLI Sri Aadya 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% -
17 GERSON Lilly 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 33% 6%
18 LIAO Audrey 100% 90% 60% 25% 5% 1% -
19 RIFKIN Talia 100% 87% 49% 16% 3% - -
20 PAREEK Anika 100% 98% 84% 48% 13% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.