RCFC Thursday Night D & Under Epee #2

Div III Mixed Épée

Thursday, January 16, 2025 at 7:30 PM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LEE Daniel 100% 94% 68% 31% 6%
2 LI Timothy 100% 100% 81% 37% 6%
3 CHAMBERLAIN Ian 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
3 KWON Andrew 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 3%
5 FABBRO Andrew 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 13%
6 NGUYEN Thai 100% 99% 92% 61% 18%
7 MONTGOMERY Elliot 100% 99% 92% 63% 21%
8 CROPLEY Theodore 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
9 LEE Michael 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
10 VAN SCYOC Aaron 100% 99% 83% 42% 9%
11 LEWIS Michael 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 3%
12 BACON Corban 100% 58% 16% 2% -
13 JOHNSON Kingsley 100% 98% 79% 38% 7%
14 FLY Paul 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
15 MATHEWS Jon 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2%
16 GE Liang 100% 92% 60% 20% 2%
17 SCOTT Gavin 100% 100% 95% 72% 29%
18 GE Ray 100% 94% 68% 28% 5%
19 LEE Vincent 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% -
20 MCLAUGHLIN Brian P. 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
21 OLIVER Russell 100% 96% 72% 32% 6%
22 GILMORE Nicholas 100% 93% 66% 27% 5%
23 PENG Gregory 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 2%
24 HAGEN William 100% 82% 42% 11% 1%
25 FARRER Cheryl 100% 92% 57% 16% 2% -
26 KYM David 100% 99% 92% 64% 23%
27 REED Juliya 100% 25% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.