Bloody Winter Wonderland at NKFA

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, January 18, 2025 at 3:00 PM

NKY Fencing Academy (NKFA) - Ludlow, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
2 EVERT Todd 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 8%
3 KOENIGSKNECHT Julian 100% 100% 99% 82% 30% 2%
3 CULLEY Matthew 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 29% 4%
5 BETTS Jr Anthony P. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
6 DWITYABASWARA Emil 100% 100% 99% 92% 54% 6%
7 DAVIS Jennifer 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1%
8 JOBE Connor 100% 100% 98% 82% 34% 4%
9 JONES Elijah 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
10 LEWTON Grace 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
11 MILLER Zach 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8% -
12 KALAPASEV Nenad (Ned) (Ned) S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
13 BOGGESS Alexander 100% 83% 40% 9% 1% -
14 MCNARY Sean 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
15 DONG Joshua 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3% -
16 GUSKA Jenn 100% 50% 8% - - -
17 FUCHS Robert 100% 88% 50% 12% 1% -
18 MCNARY Ross 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
19 HUCULAK Eerik 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 4% -
20 BRISKI Loyd 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
20 LONG Erika 100% 96% 70% 22% 3% -
22 BRETHAUER Adah 100% 59% 15% 2% - -
23 STAUBITZ Marc 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% -
24 TLUCHOWSKI Sam 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
25 CHATLOS Allison 100% 98% 47% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.