Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-10 Women's Foil

Saturday, January 18, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ENRIQUEZ Bianca Perla 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 29%
2 ZHENG Annalyn 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 37%
3 LUO lucy 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 44%
3 YANG Olivia 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 25%
5 CHENG Audrey 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
6 XING Melly 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
7 MA Sophia 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 24% 4%
8 ZHANG Selina 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 25%
9 SHEN Gloria 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
10 CHAN Jolene 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 39%
11 KHETPAL Aalia 100% 100% 98% 85% 44% 9%
12 KASHUBA Mila 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
13 LIU Anya 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 7%
14 MCCLAIN Madison 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
15 WANG Joann 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31%
16 SAVIOZ Naomi 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5% -
17 JU Victoria 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 3%
18 WANG Christina 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 10%
19 ZHU Alivia 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
20 KIM Lael 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% < 1%
21 HUANG Emma 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8% -
22 BYK Karalina 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
23 HUANG Jiayu 100% 97% 78% 41% 10% 1%
24 LIU Sophia 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
25 CHANG Eleanor 100% 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
26 CLOUD Chrystie 100% 97% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
27 WU Gloria 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
28 ZHANG Ziru 100% 96% 72% 30% 5% -
29 LIU Bella 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
30 FENG Christy 100% 83% 42% 12% 2% - -
31 JAZWINSKI Ivy 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
32 LI Beatrice 100% 99% 89% 56% 16% 2%
33 DONG Audrey 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
34 ELLISON Ingrid 100% 100% 98% 85% 46% 9%
35 ELNAGGAR lea 100% 97% 76% 35% 7% -
36 KIM Rylie 100% 99% 94% 71% 35% 8% 1%
36 MCCLAIN Grayce 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
38 CHEN Arianna 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 14%
39 MA Laurie 100% 81% 32% 4% - -
40 GONG Maggie 100% 97% 74% 30% 5% -
41 WANG Sally 100% 97% 76% 38% 10% 1%
42 CULLIVAN Elise 100% 99% 93% 69% 34% 8% 1%
43 YAO Emma 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
44 MILLER Sydney 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
44 SHI Cathy 100% 94% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
46 HOO Bethia 100% 79% 35% 8% 1% - -
47 WANG Manny 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
48 TELEB Amina 100% 60% 16% 2% - -
49 TANG Clementine 100% 64% 21% 4% - -
50 CLOUD Cailynn 100% 75% 30% 5% - -
51 WEST Mira 100% 72% 26% 4% - -
52 LI Jiacheng 100% 100% 88% 49% 10% 1%
53 PAK Emmalyn 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5% -
54 HALLEY Jacqueline 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
55 LI Catherine 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
56 ZHAO Sophia 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
57 LI YE Ruhan 100% 90% 54% 17% 3% -
58 XU Olivia 100% 99% 88% 51% 14% 1%
59 WANG Kelly 100% 93% 68% 31% 8% 1%
60 JIANG Arwen 100% 72% 28% 6% 1% - -
61 CAMELLINI Emily 100% 71% 28% 5% - -
62 MAYES-POURNARAS Zara 100% 79% 29% 4% - -
63 NAUTIYAL Asha 100% 69% 25% 5% - - -
64 KERSON Emma 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.