December NAC

Div I Women's Foil

Saturday, December 7, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Salt Lake City, UT - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIEFER Lee O. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 38%
2 DUBROVICH Jacqueline 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
3 BLOW Iman (Mani) A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
3 RHODES Zander 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
5 PUSTILNIK Nicole 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 31%
6 TIEU May L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 35%
7 WEINTRAUB Maia M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
8 BINDER Sylvie A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
9 MASSIALAS Sabrina C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
10 DEVORE Delphine P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 39%
11 ZEISS Madison E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
12 LAM Justina 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
13 FERRARI Christina M. 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 20% 2%
14 NOTT Adrienne (Adi) M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 26%
15 CHO Sabrina N. 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
16 LAFFEY Jessie S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 12%
17 ROSS Nicole 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
18 STAMOS Maria 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
19 PRESCOD Nzingha E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
20 KOO Haley B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
21 TAFFEL sara 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5% -
22 CHOI Lenna K. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
23 MARINELLI Ever 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 35%
24 CHENG Evelyn 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 11%
25 SCRUGGS Lauren S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
26 PROESTAKIS Katina A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 31% 6%
27 SEAL Grace (Gracie) C. 100% 77% 37% 11% 2% - -
28 HOSONO Rei W. 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4% -
29 AHN Gabriella 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 2%
30 VIQUEIRA Samantha M. 100% 99% 93% 67% 29% 6% -
31 FLANAGAN Catherine H. 100% 98% 86% 54% 16% 1%
32 MAK Tinney 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 3%
33 PARTRIDGE Morgan K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 18%
34 ELIZONDO Isabelle M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
35 DESCHNER Stefani K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 36%
36 ABAYEVA Sasha 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 7% -
37 NISHIMURA Madeleine A. 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
38 TAN Helen 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 20%
39 CAO Arianna L. 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14% 1%
40 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. 100% 99% 87% 53% 18% 3% -
41 HORSLEY Asherah 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 26% 3%
42 LEE Brianna J. 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
43 HE Elizabeth W. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
43 JACOB Lena 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 8% 1%
45 QIAN Crystal 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
46 ADLER Polly Z. 100% 100% 97% 75% 36% 9% 1%
47 KNIGHT Skylar 100% 99% 90% 67% 34% 9% 1%
48 TANG Louise 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
49 LIAO Madeline M. 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 11% 1%
50 JO Mia C. 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
51 ZHENG Ivy 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
52 MARTOS Sara A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
53 CHUSID Renata M. 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 4%
54 KONG Chin-Yi 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% -
55 TSAI Xiao-Qing E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 16%
56 JING Alexandra 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
57 HE Fenghuan 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 9% 1%
58 YAROSHENKO Karina 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
59 SERBAN Samantha M. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
60 LUKINS Tianji 100% 98% 80% 42% 11% 1% -
61 KIM Rachael 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4% -
62 KLEINER Elyssa R. 100% 100% 92% 66% 29% 7% 1%
63 LEE Alina 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
64 GONG Christina S. 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
65 KOO Rachel A. 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 13% 2%
66 LEE Allison (Allie) 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 5%
67 LEE Annora Y. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
68 ANDREYENKA Yana 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
69 LIAO Lu Jia (Lucy) 100% 91% 59% 22% 3% -
70 LI Grace Q. 100% 99% 91% 63% 23% 1%
71 WANG Ellen 100% 94% 69% 32% 9% 1% -
72 NOVOSELTSEVA Anna V. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 12%
72 YAMAGUCHI Kate M. 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
74 HAO Alicia 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 43% 6%
75 KIM Elisabeth (Gracie) 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
76 SHEN Sophia H. 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
77 PARK Rowan M. 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 9% 1%
78 SOOD Ishani S. 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
79 LAMPSON-STIXRUD Dolly C. 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
79 ANDREYENKA Hanna 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 32% 4%
81 LUONG Paige K. 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 17% 2%
82 GRIFFIN Emma G. 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6% -
83 YANKOVSKIY Anastasia 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 14% 1%
84 HUNG Juliana K. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
85 SEAL Julie T. 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
86 ZHENG Vivian 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
87 HOOSHI Erica S. 100% 97% 78% 42% 11% 1%
88 GAYDOS Sofia C. 100% 92% 64% 26% 5% -
89 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa 100% 85% 44% 12% 1% -
90 TRAN Ava D. 100% 77% 36% 8% 1% -
91 GOMES Rafaella T. 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1% -
92 APELIAN Katherine 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
93 AHN Isabella 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 9% 1%
94 MOLHO Sofia 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
95 NOVOSELTSEVA Elizabeth (Liza) M. 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% -
96 CHEN Cynthia 100% 86% 48% 15% 3% - -
97 ALFONSO Czarina M. 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
97 SADAN Jordan E. 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
99 BREKER Anika 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 2% -
99 LEE Yejine 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
101 MCBRYAN Teresa N. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23% 3%
101 RATSEP Ariel 100% 69% 25% 5% - - -
103 MAROTTA Veronica L. 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2% -
103 HUNT Tarleton Q. 100% 99% 91% 56% 19% 3% -
105 YE Eileen 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
106 CHO Gracie L. 100% 98% 81% 46% 15% 3% -
106 SHIH Diane 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
108 FERNANDES Thea 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
109 PROCOPIO Lucia 100% 70% 26% 4% - -
110 CHENG Lydia A. 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
111 LI Phoebe J. 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
112 WU Kyra 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
113 OH Erin H. 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
114 NELSON Marissa E. 100% 54% 12% 1% - - -
115 LOW Sharon J. 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% - -
116 BRADFORD Meeah 100% 95% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
117 FREEDMAN Miranda W. 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
118 TURNER Stephanie E. 100% 39% 5% - - - -
118 LUU Shanon K. 100% 84% 31% 5% - - -
120 DEBACK Greta I. 100% 90% 51% 16% 2% - -
121 VONA Elena M. 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% - -
122 SANTOS Annika Beatrice I. 100% 65% 20% 3% - - -
123 LUO ZIWEN 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
124 LESLIE Ryanne T. 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% 1%
125 ZAROFF Roxanne 100% 93% 65% 26% 4% -
125 KOKES Gabrielle 100% 94% 66% 26% 5% -
127 LEE Jessica Doyun 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
128 YU Seneca 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
129 KONG Olivia 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
130 CHON Samantha 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
131 BATRA Chaahat 100% 79% 38% 10% 2% - -
132 RENTON Samantha 100% 67% 25% 5% - - -
133 TALWALKAR Apoorva 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% - -
134 VEERKAMP Molly 100% 78% 31% 6% 1% - -
135 CHON Sydney 100% 78% 33% 7% 1% - -
136 MING YUE 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
137 HOLLAND Naomi 100% 46% 9% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.