Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-14 Women's Saber

Sunday, January 19, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Yixuan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 18%
2 IANNUZZI Lucy 100% 100% 95% 68% 27% 4%
3 GUGALA Hanna 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 63%
3 MACKAY Katherine 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
5 CHOI Charlotte 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
6 DAVIDOVA Kira 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
7 ZHANG Ashley 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 32%
8 HEATH Isabella 100% 100% 97% 79% 44% 12% 1%
9 FAN Alexandria 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
10 DHAR Rana 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 22%
11 GONG Joy 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
12 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
13 LIU Hannah 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 12%
14 JOHNSON Neema 100% 100% 98% 80% 41% 8%
15 CHANG Norah 100% 100% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
16 NG Sophia 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 2%
17 AWAD Royce 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 12%
18 CASTELO Soleil 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34%
19 KAUL Tara 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
20 GONZALEZ Veronika 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
21 FUNG Iris 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
22 WONG Charlene 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 6%
23 LEE Kaitlin 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 12%
24 REN Katherine 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 18%
25 HUANG Pierra 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
26 KIM Grace 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 7% 1%
27 CHOWDHERY Myra 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 6%
28 KIM Grace 100% 92% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
29 ZHAO Selena 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 8%
30 VUDTHITHAMRONG Vivienne 100% 99% 91% 53% 15% 2%
31 HO Sophia 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
32 LI Alicia 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 17% 2%
33 LAFFY Lily 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
34 CHANG Annette 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 34% 7%
35 JOHN Sophia 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 36% 7%
36 KATZ Emma 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
37 NEMORIN Rei 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
38 PEREIRA Izumi 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 10% 1%
38 BONIN Arielle 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 8%
40 YE Isabella 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 33% 4%
41 NADKARNI Marisa 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
42 SEVASTOPULO Sahra 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
43 GOEL Lineysha 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 12% 1%
44 NIU Jessica 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
45 BORGUETA Madison 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 2%
46 PARK Haylie 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 6%
47 BERRIOS Catalina 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 20% 2%
48 DUTA Lyra 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 29% 5%
48 MAJEWSKA Maria 100% 98% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
50 SEO Kaitlyn 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
51 CHEN Victoria 100% 100% 99% 87% 52% 13%
52 ZHU Elaine 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 18%
53 YADAV Tishya 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2%
54 LIANG Claire 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
55 ILAGAN Ava 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 27% 5%
56 LI Tiffany 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 8% 1%
57 KIM Eunjae 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
58 YOUNG Sienna 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
59 LAI Karen 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
60 REDA Sophie 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
61 XU Elaine 100% 100% 96% 71% 30% 5%
62 POWERS Waverly 100% 96% 77% 39% 9% 1%
63 LIU Teresa 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
64 OEI Allyson 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
65 ALFONSO-VALLEJO Cecilia 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
66 HU Heidi 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 29% 4%
67 WEI Madison 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
68 MING Emma 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 3%
69 HILD Anya 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
70 YANG Felicia 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
71 KO Ariel 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8% -
72 ROSTHOLDER Hannah 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 4% -
73 PHILLIPPY Hannah 100% 89% 54% 19% 4% - -
74 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2% -
75 HAGN Luna 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
76 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
77 DOROBANTU Emma 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
78 NAKATA Gwyneth 100% 75% 21% 3% - -
79 LEE Janice 100% 83% 43% 12% 1% -
80 BUSQUE-WANG Juliana 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
81 OLSON Olivia 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
82 WANG Chloe 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3% -
83 HARRIS Maya Hué 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
84 YIN Xizi 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
85 TA-ZHOU Sophia 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 8% -
86 WANG Keira 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
87 BANDHU Saahiti 100% 98% 79% 44% 15% 3% -
88 TRINH Nha-Yen 100% 93% 61% 23% 4% - -
89 FLEEGER Sophia 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 3%
90 DEMRY Kylee 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% -
91 GOLEN Grace 100% 73% 29% 6% 1% -
92 GUO Yuexi 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% -
93 WILFRET Katerina 100% 81% 38% 10% 1% -
94 DU Jessica 100% 52% 10% 1% - -
95 FANG Darcy 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
96 WANG Selina 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
97 CANARAN Daphne M. 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
98 IORDANOVA Vela 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
99 LEE Jiyoung 100% 80% 36% 8% 1% - -
100 KANG Ellie 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 11% 1%
100 CHANG Kelly 100% 97% 68% 25% 4% - -
100 GACHES RUELAS Lucia 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
103 LIU Stephanie 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
104 SOUTHWELL Mia 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
105 MOFFITT Charlotte 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
106 TOPALOV Julia 100% 85% 45% 12% 2% - -
107 AHLUWALIA Vera 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% - -
108 SAGER Bianca 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
109 ARGUELLO Camilla 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
110 PARKER Mrinali 100% 64% 20% 3% - - -
111 GARCIA RODRIGUEZ Victoria Maria 100% 87% 50% 16% 3% - -
112 MARGULIS Roxana 100% 74% 22% 3% - -
112 PARRA Luciana 100% 72% 28% 6% - -
112 DIBADJ Ava 100% 47% 7% - - -
115 SMITH Genevieve 100% 64% 21% 3% - - -
115 JOHNSON Marlee 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
117 NARRELL Olive 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
118 REYNOLDS CHANG Anna 100% 39% 6% - - - -
119 KARAVAS Lucy 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
120 MAZZURCO Marin 100% 72% 30% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.