Event Results
Capital Fencing Academy Musketeer Circuit #2Surprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | LIU Jayden | V V V V | V V V | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 2 | HU Emily | D V V V | V V V D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 3 | BADMUS David | V D D V | V V V D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 3 | URQUILLA Devin | V V V D V | V V D | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| 5 | LI Derek | D V V V V | V D | 1.7 | 4 | +2.3 |
| 6 | SUN Leo Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 7 | KELLY Collin | V V D V D | V V D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 8 | BERGAN Chase | D V V D V | V V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 9 | TILAKARATNE Avin | V V D V V | D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 10 | MAUREL Louis | D V V V V | D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 11 | PIÑOL Annika | V V D V | D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 12 | WANG Mason | D V V V | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 | |
| 13 | SVERDLOV Max | D D V V D | V D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 14 | CUSTIS Jett | D D V D | V D | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| 15 | HUANG Joseph | D V D D | V D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 16 | SAPRIZA Virginia | D D D D D | V D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| 17 | RAABE Alexander | D V V D V | D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 18 | HINDS Nathaniel | V V D D D | D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 19 | RADELL Zoe | D V D D | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 20 | HEMANI Bowen | V D D D | D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 20 | ANDERSON Mads | V D D D | D | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| 22 | NEGRUSA Lucas | D D V D D | D | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| 23 | LI Karina | D D D D D | D | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |