Icicle Invitational

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, January 26, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Belmont Community Center - Lincoln, NE, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WILLETT Addison 100% 100% 99% 80% 36% 6%
2 THOMSON Champa 100% 99% 82% 37% 7% - -
3 BUCEVICIUS Alexander A. 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
3 VAUGHAN Paul 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 31%
5 TUCKER Brad W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 66% 20%
6 KOVANDA Cassidy K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
7 BUTLER Joseph D. 100% 99% 92% 62% 17%
8 RIECK Brennan 100% 84% 43% 10% 1% -
9 MCMANIGAL Matthew L. 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 6%
10 BRUMBY Maximilian M. 100% 100% 100% 95% 65% 23% 3%
11 COLEMAN Ian 100% 95% 68% 28% 5%
12 BUCKINGHAM Emma N. 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 13%
13 HOLT Dale W. 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 36% 7%
14 KOHL Christian 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
15 JOHNSON Jay 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
16 TIMMONS Sarah J. 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 2%
17 COSGROVE Franklin 100% 89% 52% 14% 1% - -
18 GEISBERG Ben 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
19 MYERS Phillip S. 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
20 ZOLINSKI Yahshua 100% 87% 51% 15% 2% - -
21 BLAKLEY Thaddaeus 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 16% 2%
22 JOHNSON Doug 100% 83% 44% 11% 1% - -
23 TENHUNDFELD Jack 100% 99% 62% 18% 2%
24 TIERNEY Luke 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% -
25 HEALD Corbin 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2%
26 FUNK David 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 1%
27 BALA-MAY Noah 100% 97% 76% 35% 6% - -
28 LEBRUSKA Makayla 100% 71% 23% 3% -
29 PEPINO Raphael J. 100% 90% 59% 23% 4% -
30 KOVANDA Kayce 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% - -
31 COLEMAN Kristen 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.