Capital Czajkowski Cup #2

Senior Mixed Saber

Saturday, January 25, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Capital Fencing Academy - Rockville, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FERRARA Nick S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
2 PATEL Rayn 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
3 CHEN Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
3 ARIAS Cesar A 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
5 VALENCIA Jose 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
6 BARROSO Isabela 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3% -
7 WANG Max 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 3%
8 FERRARO Pietro 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
9 AERY FALLICK Ozzie 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 58% 16%
10 RINALDI Savio 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 19% 2%
11 CHAWLA Abhishek 100% 98% 82% 44% 11% 1% -
12 ROBLES Julio C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
13 BADMUS Joshua 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
14 BAKER Keith L. 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 5%
15 YUCEL Emine 100% 95% 76% 44% 16% 3% -
16 PIHLSTROM Richie 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 27% 4%
17 KLEBS Robert 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 2%
18 MAUREL Nicolas 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 4% -
19 KOENIGSBERG Jared 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 17% 2%
20 SZULIM Rad 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
21 NGUYEN Anna 100% 84% 48% 17% 4% - -
22 SULLIVAN Anna 100% 95% 66% 27% 6% 1% -
23 LU Charles 100% 99% 94% 75% 44% 15% 2%
24 PAGAN Andrew 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 2%
25 ZHANG Yulang 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
26 KIM Grace 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
26 JIN Adam 100% 65% 16% 2% - - -
28 OLMEN Kelsey 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
29 SWAROOP Advait 100% 87% 43% 10% 1% - -
30 VANNIER Anouk 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% - -
31 JEAN-BAPTISTE Luc 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 2% -
32 MICHALSKI Brandon 100% 92% 48% 6% - - -
33 MEHROTRA Sid 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1% -
34 DAUGHERTY Luke 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 9% 1%
35 PIRAINO Kevin 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.