Event Results
DMFC's 2025 Frostbite (Foil & Saber)Surprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | MCMANIGAL Matthew | V V V V V | V V V | 3.8 | 5 | +1.2 |
| 2 | KENNEDY Michael | V V V V V | V V D | 1.7 | 5 | +3.3 |
| 3 | KIRKPATRICK Preston J. | V D V D V | V V D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 3 | EASTER Christopher | V D V V D | V D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 5 | RISKO-JUAREZ Aiden | V V D D V | D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 6 | LANCASTER Frankie | V D D V V | V D | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| 7 | KOPPMANN Abby | D V V D D | V D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 8 | OPPERMAN Avery | D D D V D | V D | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| 9 | ORGERON Jeremy | D V D D V | D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 10 | ROSS Quimby | D D V V D | D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 11 | LARSON Drake | D V D D D | D | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| 12 | RHEA Evan | D D D D D | D | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |