8th Annual Join the Pirate Crew

Senior Mixed Saber

Sunday, February 2, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Buccaneer Blades Fencing - Wentzville, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FORTH Declan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
2 HAMMOND Jonathon 100% 100% 100% 92% 21%
3 SIERRA Gregory 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 25% 1%
3 BARROWS Hunter 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 12%
5 FINN Lucy 100% 85% 26% 3% -
6 THOMPSON Owen 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11% -
7 WILSON Seth 100% 98% 75% 34% 8% 1%
8 BOWLES Caden 100% 99% 85% 48% 13% 1%
9 DEATON Lily 100% 100% 96% 75% 37% 8%
9 PETERMEIER Copper 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
11 PARK Gavin 100% 100% 96% 74% 31% 3%
12 FERKO Miriam 100% 99% 72% 30% 6% 1% -
13 MIZERNY Nicholas 100% 99% 86% 54% 19% 3% -
14 IVES Audrey 100% 93% 64% 27% 5% -
15 SHIVELY Erik 100% 73% 19% 2% - -
16 MANNING Lucas 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
17 DASAL Liam 100% 99% 89% 55% 15%
18 REED Martin 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
19 SOBERY Lillian 100% 86% 44% 11% 1% -
20 SWISTON Lydia 100% 71% 19% 2% -
21 LADY Jamie 100% 99% 86% 36% 2%
23 BROCKMEYER Kendy 100% 66% 22% 3% - - -
24 HICKS Beau 100% 91% 59% 21% 3% -
25 FAGAN Cara 100% 95% 68% 29% 6% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.