2025 Groundhog Open

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, February 1, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Mary Hogan School - Middlebury, VT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TOOMRE Kai 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
2 ZHAO Brian 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24%
3 ZHAO Brandon 100% 100% 95% 70% 30% 5%
3 PUOPOLO Mia 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 21%
5 COFFIN Carleton 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 7%
6 KROLEWSKI Alexander 100% 100% 100% 98% 77% 26%
7 POPESCU Tudor 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39%
8 FOX Viveka R. 100% 100% 100% 80% 40% 10% 1%
9 LEMIEUX-AHERN Nicolas 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
10 MAGAZU Christopher 100% 100% 94% 66% 22% 2%
11 SABATINO Patrick 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 5%
12 SHAW Guinevere L. 100% 100% 93% 68% 31% 8% 1%
13 MARCOUX Alexander 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
14 TOROPOVA Arina 100% 95% 65% 23% 3% -
15 HENTY Colton 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2% -
16 GOODMAN Carden 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% - -
17 GOLDENBOGEN Simon 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
18 SPENCER Kyus 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 12% 1%
19 LEBEL Anais 100% 93% 68% 30% 6% -
20 GALLAGHER Miranda 100% 91% 61% 24% 4% -
21 PERNIA Samantha 100% 86% 42% 6% - -
22 TREMBLAY Ariane 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% - -
23 KERSHA Alexander 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% - -
24 ANNEAR Phillip 100% 63% 20% 3% - -
25 BIANCOSINO Paras 100% 65% 22% 4% - - -
26 BALCH Richard Trip 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.