CFFA Stab-a-thon

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, February 8, 2025 at 12:30 PM

CFFA - Tileston Gym at St. Mary - Wilmington, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 HAN Sam 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
2 BICKTA Joshua 100% 100% 90% 42% 3%
3 RUSSELL James 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 34%
3 DAVIS Andrew 100% 100% 95% 47% 10% 1%
5 JONES Jackson 100% 100% 96% 79% 38% 5%
6 O'DEA Ryan 100% 100% 92% 57% 17% 2%
7 SANFORD Kenyatta L. 100% 100% 94% 54% 12% 1%
7 WHITE Taylor 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 19%
9 MILES Greyson 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
10 TAURMAN Jr. Patrick J. 100% 99% 82% 37% 3%
11 GUEVARRA Gerhard V. 100% 100% 94% 66% 24% 3%
12 GUEVARRA Gabriel (Gabe) W. 100% 99% 89% 55% 18% 2%
13 JULIEN Erica 100% 47% 7% - -
14 GOLDER Christiane 100% 84% 39% 8% 1% -
15 THIELEN Thomas 100% 79% 28% 3% -
16 THIELEN Dexter 100% 46% 7% - - -
17 BASNIGHT Eden 100% 28% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.