Valentine's Stabness

Unrated Mixed Foil

Saturday, February 8, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Richmond Fencing Club - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SINGH Meet 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 13% 2%
2 CONANT Aidan 100% 100% 94% 70% 29% 4%
3 ALLEN Lily 100% 88% 50% 15% 2% -
3 LOVELACE Vander 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 5%
5 BLUHM Kyle 100% 97% 79% 39% 8% < 1%
6 MCCREADY-FLORA Felicity 100% 100% 97% 76% 34% 6%
7 HAVERSON Rana 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
8 SMITH IV Edward (Ted) A. 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 13%
9 LAU-ALLEN Macy 100% 99% 87% 55% 18% 2%
10 BORAN Connor 100% 98% 85% 47% 10% 1%
11 FISHER Edward 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 19% 3%
12 BLEVINS Carolyn 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
13 LOVE Ryan 100% 100% 95% 74% 32% 5%
14 ROUNTREE Andrew 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 14%
15 MITCHELL Robert 100% 86% 52% 20% 4% 1% -
16 PARKER Joseph 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
17 NANAYAKKARA Damin 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
18 COX Brian 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
19 COLBY Jim 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 29%
20 AKKALE Reyhan 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
21 O'SHEA Francis 100% 100% 94% 71% 31% 5%
22 GAGNON Charles 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1%
23 WILLIAMS Morgan 100% 73% 28% 5% - -
24 COX Samuel 100% 90% 56% 18% 2% -
25 COX Jeniffer 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.