Canlan Sports Lake Barrington - Barrington, IL, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | LIU Yinhong | V D V D V V | V V V V V | 5.4 | 4 | -1.4 |
| 2 | BUEHLER Felix | V V V V V D | V V V V D | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| 3 | MCMILLIAN Harrison | V D V V V V | V V V D | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| 3 | HICKEY Connor | V V V V V V | V V D | 5.6 | 6 | +0.4 |
| 5 | KAGAN Noah | V V V V D V | V V D | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| 6 | FANG Haoyu | V V D V V V | V V D | 5.0 | 5 | - |
| 7 | CHENG Mason | D V V V V V | V V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 8 | MCCONKEY Tristan | V D V D V D | V V V | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| 9 | EDWARDS Connor | V V V V V | V D | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| 10 | DIFRANK Avery | V V V D V V | V D | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| 11 | HASTINGS Alex | V V V V D | V D | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| 12 | HONG Derek | V V D V V | V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 13 | LI Andy | D D V V V V | V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 14 | ZMUDA Aiden | V V V D D V | V V D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| 15 | LATORRE Leonardo | V V D V D | V V D | 4.4 | 3 | -1.4 |
| 16 | WEBSTER Liam | D V V D V | V V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 17 | ZHANG Hanson | V V V V V D | D | 2.8 | 5 | +2.2 |
| 18 | WANG Freyr | V V D V V | D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| 19 | LINEBERRY CADEN | V D V V V | D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 20 | CHAN William | V V D V V | D | 1.6 | 4 | +2.4 |
| 21 | XU Rambert | D V D V V V | D | 2.0 | 4 | +2.0 |
| 22 | ROUS Miguel | V V D V D V | D | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
| 23 | DEPP Edward | V V V D D | V D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 24 | ZHAO Jason | D D V V V | V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 25 | IBARRA Alejandro | V V D D D V | V D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 26 | YOUNG Jack | D V D V V D | V D | 1.7 | 3 | +1.3 |
| 27 | MORALES Tycho | V D D V V D | V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 28 | BLACK John | D V V D D | V D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| 29 | XIE Ethan | D D V V D | V D | 0.9 | 2 | +1.1 |
| 30 | CHASE Crosby | D D V D V | V D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 31 | FERGUSON Levi | D D V V D D | V D | 4.1 | 2 | -2.1 |
| 32 | NOTHIAS Sebastien | D D D D V | V D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 33 | HILDEBRANDT Gerhard | D V V D D D | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 34 | THEKKEL Jonathan | D V V D D D | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 35 | UNTEREKER Billy | V D D D D | D | 3.1 | 1 | -2.1 |
| 36 | TAGORE Ayansh | D D D D V D | D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 37 | WILLIAMS Thomas | V D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 38 | NG Gavin | D D V D D D | D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 39 | BODNER Nicholas | D D D D D V | D | 3.9 | 1 | -2.9 |
| 40 | GROSS Eli | D D D D V D | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 41 | CRONK Trevor | D D D D D | D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| 42 | CHOE Austin | D D D D D | D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| 43 | RAVIPATI Suryatej | D D D D D D | D | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| 44 | RILEY Parker | D D D D D | D | 3.3 | 0 | -3.3 |
| 45 | LUND Jonah | D D D D D D | D | 0.4 | 0 | -0.4 |
| 46 | ALTENHOF Nathaniel | D D D D D D | D | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.