Salle d'Arcane Youth Foil

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Sunday, February 9, 2025 at 3:30 PM

Bay Area Fencing Pleasanton - Pleasonton, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 PAN Samantha 100% 100% 97% 76% 29%
2 RAJ Yojith 100% 100% 98% 86% 47% 3%
3 LI Audrey 100% 100% 99% 89% 46% 3%
3 YAN Aaron 100% 95% 72% 32% 5%
5 SHAO Tysen 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1%
6 ZHANG Katie Qingyun 100% 99% 88% 55% 15%
7 CHUNG Charlotte 100% 100% 97% 76% 30%
8 JIN Jiyuan 100% 98% 72% 24% 3% -
9 FUNG Caleb 100% 91% 60% 23% 4%
10 CHEUNG Henry 100% 100% 97% 77% 37% 7%
11 PARK Seojeong 100% 89% 45% 9% 1%
12 HAGIWARA-MATIASEK Kazuma 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 41%
13 LIN Zhengxuan 100% 99% 86% 48% 13% 1%
14 FUNG Lucas 100% 75% 26% 4% - -
15 WONG Sebastian 100% 70% 24% 3% -
16 ZHANG Annabelle 100% 95% 68% 24% 3%
17 SOUSA Lauren 100% 93% 67% 32% 8% 1%
18 HUEMMER Sophia 100% 63% 18% 2% - -
19 NILANGEKAR Nikita 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
20 KATAYAMA Ian 100% 100% 91% 57% 16%
21 LEE Clara 100% 79% 33% 6% - -
22 YANG Leo 100% 50% 10% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.