Western Washington Foil/Epee Challenge #3

Senior Mixed Foil

Sunday, February 9, 2025 at 10:00 AM

Salle Auriol Seattle - Seattle, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ROZALSKI Eli 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 9%
2 KRYLTSOV Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 21%
3 LEE Christopher T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
3 CHONG Tristan 100% 100% 100% 96% 70% 29% 5%
5 WU Alistair 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 14%
6 KIM Harrison 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
7 SPROWLES Cameron D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 38%
8 RAUTUREAU Arthur 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 66% 18%
9 KIM Teo 100% 76% 31% 6% 1% < 1%
10 WANDJI Anais 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
11 SHAGIDANYAN German 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
12 LI Edison M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 4%
13 ZHANG Raphael 100% 100% 89% 57% 19% 2% -
14 TALASILA Arush 100% 100% 92% 65% 27% 5%
15 HAN Crystal 100% 100% 93% 69% 33% 9% 1%
16 HARROCH Faustin 100% 100% 97% 80% 39% 8% 1%
17 KIM Jackson 100% 100% 99% 86% 52% 14%
18 TROXEL Sylvie A. 100% 100% 100% 93% 58% 13% 1%
19 WANDJI Noah 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
20 CASTANEDA Keira 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5%
21 HARRIS Julien 100% 99% 84% 46% 12% 1% -
22 WU Elynna 100% 91% 46% 9% 1% - -
23 SHIN Jaelynn 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
24 LIU BAI HENG 100% 99% 88% 52% 16% 2%
25 CHRISTIAN Jonathan 100% 96% 62% 23% 4% -
26 BACON Maxwell 100% 83% 41% 9% 1% - -
27 FECAROTTA Ryan 100% 100% 89% 55% 18% 2% -
28 NICHOLSON John 100% 61% 12% - - - -
29 HAN Mia 100% 75% 31% 6% 1% -
30 CLEMENTE Aragorn 100% 56% 13% 1% - -
31 YU Ziyao 100% 89% 55% 18% 3% - -
32 WANG Albert 100% 15% 1% - - - -
33 WALTERS John 100% 83% 38% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.