The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Saturday, November 16, 2019 at 8:30 AM

New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 YUAN Greta 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
2 CHIANG Emily 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 23%
3 HILD Nisha 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
3 NATH Trisha 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 9%
5 LEE Hannah 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
6 JOHNSON Dagny L. 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 13%
7 ILYIN Anna 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% 1%
8 WHALEN Paige C. 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
9 MCKEE Ainsley 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
10 SO Catelyn 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
11 HE Lizbeth 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
12 OBRADOVIC Ana 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
13 SHINCHUK Ellisha 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% 1%
14 NGUYEN Ella 100% 72% 30% 6% 1% -
15 DAMDINSUREN Sophie 100% 93% 62% 22% 3% -
16 MARYASH Samantha 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
17 YAN Ava 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
18 YAN Lena 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1%
19 MUNGOVAN Cecilia C. 100% 99% 87% 57% 20% 3%
20 FLATT Sophia 100% 95% 66% 27% 5% -
21 JOHNSTON Lily 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
22 GOMERMAN Sophia 100% 96% 74% 38% 10% 1%
23 DONG Angel 100% 100% 93% 66% 24% 3%
24 JACOBS Skye 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 5%
25 BEILEY Erin 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
26 GIBEK Victoria 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% -
27 HUANG Caroline 100% 98% 81% 46% 14% 2%
28 XU ALINA 100% 87% 47% 13% 2% -
29 KHAN Alissa 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
30 SAHNI Sophia 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
31 NAYAK Anika 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1%
32 WALLEY Maria 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1%
33 STRIZHEVSKY Ariel 100% 67% 23% 4% - -
34 YEN Christina 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1%
35 TUPPER Alyson 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% -
36 VALADEZ Elizabeth 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.