Mission RYC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Saturday, February 22, 2025 at 3:30 PM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	HUANG Pierra	-	1%	11%	34%	39%	14%
2	PARK Haylie	-	1%	8%	28%	41%	21%
3	FOSS Persephone	-	-	2%	10%	28%	39%	22%
3	NANDA Maanika	-	5%	21%	38%	28%	6%
5	NIU Jessica	-	-	-	2%	16%	43%	38%
6	XU Elaine	-	-	6%	26%	43%	24%
7	ZHENG Winona	-	2%	17%	39%	33%	9%
8	LEE Kaitlin	-	2%	12%	28%	34%	19%	4%
9	JOHN Sophia	-	-	3%	14%	35%	37%	11%
10	GOEL Lineysha	-	1%	6%	23%	39%	26%	5%
11	WONG Charlene	1%	8%	28%	39%	21%	3%
12	HAGN Luna	8%	31%	40%	18%	3%	-
13	NEMORIN Rei	-	-	3%	15%	41%	41%
14	ZHAO Selena	-	2%	10%	30%	40%	18%
15	HILD Anya	-	3%	17%	37%	33%	10%
16	LEE Grace	-	4%	18%	34%	30%	12%	2%
17	SEO Kaitlyn	-	2%	11%	28%	35%	21%	4%
18	HAGLER Alice	5%	24%	36%	25%	8%	1%	-
19	YERENKOVA Ameliia	-	2%	15%	36%	35%	11%
20	ALFONSO-VALLEJO Cecilia	1%	10%	29%	37%	20%	3%
21	CANARAN Daphne M.	4%	23%	39%	26%	7%	1%
22	JUNG Elise	9%	31%	37%	19%	4%	-
23	SVIDER Elle	-	6%	26%	39%	24%	5%
24	NARAYANAN Sinduja	1%	12%	37%	36%	13%	2%
25	DOROBANTU Emma	6%	30%	40%	20%	4%	-
26	CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia	21%	40%	28%	9%	1%	-
27	BUCCINO Sloane	40%	46%	13%	2%	-	-
28	PIENKOWSKI Olivia	9%	30%	36%	19%	5%	1%	-
29	KIM isabel	1%	11%	29%	34%	19%	5%	1%
30	LIAO Amber	12%	34%	35%	15%	3%	-	-
31	MOTOVA Masha	10%	34%	37%	15%	3%	-	-
32	WANG Keira	6%	26%	38%	23%	6%	-
33	TRINH Nha-Yen	24%	41%	26%	8%	1%	-
34	SAGER Bianca	27%	49%	21%	3%	-	-
35	COOKE Dallis	49%	38%	11%	2%	-	-	-
36	UPBIN Olivia	52%	37%	9%	1%	-	-
37	TASSONE Charlie	1%	17%	41%	32%	9%	1%	-
38	VETRANO Lucia	2%	13%	34%	36%	14%	1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

Want to keep up with all things fencingtracker? Join our Discord community here.