9th Annual Orange & Blue

Senior Mixed Saber

Saturday, February 22, 2025 at 11:30 AM

Southwest Recreation Center - Gainesville, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TIAGI Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
2 MCGUIRE Christian 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 89%
3 DELARUE Nelson Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 91% 51%
3 TIAGI George 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
5 RADY-PENTEK Charles A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 45%
6 DUPREE Thomas 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 60%
7 BALLOU Johnathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 18%
8 IRWIN Peter 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 47%
9 KAMAL Aidan 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
10 LEE Andrew 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 17% 1%
11 DE SOUZA CABRERO Yorrick 100% 100% 100% 98% 78% 14%
12 WOLF Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 23%
13 RAKAJ Jozef 100% 100% 99% 82% 35% 5%
14 OH Hakjae 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 15% 2%
15 BENT Sarah 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 4% -
16 DONDERIS Katherine 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 4%
17 VU Mark 100% 100% 94% 50% 10% 1%
18 CURTIS Kevin 100% 99% 64% 22% 4% - -
19 BROWN Olivia 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 12%
19 THACKERAY Caden 100% 100% 96% 75% 34% 6%
21 BOUNDS Andrew 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2% -
22 MOSHER Kai 100% 78% 33% 5% - -
23 MARTIN Zak 100% 90% 49% 10% 1% -
24 FREEMAN Rian 100% 86% 45% 11% 1% -
25 TOSCANO Sebastian 100% 100% 93% 65% 26% 4% -
26 BARRACLOUGH Finn 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 4% -
27 LOZITO Matthew 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
28 MOTTLAU Maddox 100% 99% 84% 39% 7% -
29 SHERIDAN Filip 100% 70% 27% 5% - -
30 RIVERA-HERNÁNDEZ Javier 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 7% -
31 LECHMERE Harry 100% 90% 52% 11% - -
32 DULAY Peter 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
33 ESMER Ekin 100% 75% 30% 5% - -
34 BLESSING Katherine 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6% -
35 MILLER SACKMAN Anita 100% 55% 12% 1% - -
36 CEBALLOS M. Micaiah 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 30% 3%
37 TORO Diego 100% 94% 66% 24% 4% -
38 TAOUIL Sarrah 100% 99% 87% 47% 11% 1%
39 POOLE Kiley 100% 90% 51% 8% - -
40 FARAHMAND Shaya 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
41 FREEDMAN Alexander 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% - -
42 BAUBLITZ Aidan 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
43 MESSER Bryce 100% 81% 36% 6% - -
44 GARCIA Alejandro 100% 95% 69% 28% 5% -
45 PELLETIER Skylar 100% 25% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.