Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Sunday, November 17, 2019 at 4:00 PM

New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LU Elaine 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 32%
2 LEE Hannah 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
3 SHINCHUK Ellisha 100% 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
3 JOHNSON Dagny L. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
5 GOMERMAN Sophia 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 7%
6 FESTA Carina 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 5%
7 KOHLBERGER Noelle 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
8 KHAN Alissa 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1%
9 NATH Trisha 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 12%
10 ANTHONY Alexia B. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
11 FLATT Sophia 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
12 MCKEE Brynnley 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
13 DONG Angel 100% 99% 87% 53% 18% 2%
14 XU ALINA 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 6% -
15 MURRAY Audrey A. 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
16 ALSTON- SAMSOM Mackenzie 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
17 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
18 BELEV Christa 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
19 WU Allison Y. 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
20 FRY Daria 100% 85% 47% 15% 3% - -
21 BUSH Bethany 100% 94% 67% 28% 5% -
22 HORVITZ Jacqueline 100% 66% 25% 5% 1% - -
23 MUND Ruth 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% - -
24 CHENG Isabel 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% - -
25 BUSH Divina 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
25 ZHENG Annabelle 100% 59% 15% 2% - - -
27 TING Sydney 100% 58% 17% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.