Mission RYC

Y-14 Women's Épée

Sunday, February 23, 2025 at 11:45 AM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	CHEN Alina	-	-	2%	11%	30%	39%	19%
2	PETROFF Eva	-	-	1%	6%	22%	41%	31%
3	WONG Angelina	-	-	3%	16%	42%	38%
3	HAN Emma	1%	10%	34%	37%	16%	2%
5	KAKANI Aditi	-	2%	14%	34%	36%	14%
5	NING Miranda	-	-	4%	19%	42%	35%
7	LIN Cynthia	-	5%	21%	37%	28%	7%
8	ZHONG Evelyn	-	3%	17%	36%	33%	11%
9	MOKRETSOV Leah	-	2%	12%	28%	34%	20%	4%
10	YU Livia	-	3%	13%	30%	33%	18%	3%
11	BOROTKO Katerina	-	1%	6%	24%	42%	27%
12	CHEN Madeline	-	3%	13%	29%	33%	19%	4%
13	CHERNOBRIVETS Maria	1%	8%	26%	37%	23%	5%
14	RAJPUT Mahek	1%	9%	26%	34%	22%	7%	1%
15	XU Mulan	1%	8%	24%	34%	24%	8%	1%
16	TIAN Victoria	2%	13%	33%	34%	16%	2%
17	SHEIKH PAREE	-	5%	22%	40%	27%	6%
18	ORDORICA Abra	1%	11%	30%	36%	19%	3%
19	LAW Mila	1%	8%	27%	35%	22%	6%	1%
20	JU Jennifer	-	5%	18%	33%	30%	13%	2%
21	CHOU Andrea	2%	13%	32%	34%	16%	3%
22	KIM Abigail	16%	40%	32%	11%	2%	-
23	PETRIZZO Anna	13%	33%	33%	16%	4%	1%	-
24	FUNATOMI Maya	-	4%	22%	40%	28%	6%
25	BROWN Marie	1%	8%	26%	36%	23%	6%
26	SAJJA Anwita	31%	43%	21%	5%	-	-
27	KLAUSZ Izabella	2%	15%	33%	32%	15%	3%	-
28	IVANOV Angela-Sophie	11%	34%	35%	16%	3%	-
29	CHEN Laila	2%	13%	32%	34%	16%	3%
30	LIU Lillian	22%	45%	26%	6%	1%	-
31	GOTSABINA Elizabeth	1%	9%	29%	37%	20%	4%
32	GORE Amina	4%	22%	37%	27%	9%	1%
33	LEE Zoe	36%	41%	18%	4%	-	-
34	NOONAN Jane	15%	36%	32%	14%	3%	-	-
35	LEE Bohm	32%	42%	21%	5%	1%	-	-
36	GRUDZINSKI Josephine	30%	43%	21%	5%	-	-
37	SELASSIE Semara	35%	45%	17%	3%	-	-
38	LEVENSON Ruth	1%	12%	34%	35%	15%	3%	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

Want to keep up with all things fencingtracker? Join our Discord community here.