DCFC Youth Epee Challenge

Y-14 Mixed Épée

Sunday, February 23, 2025 at 2:00 PM

DC Fencers Club - Silver Spring, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ADDYSON Aidan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
2 CHANEY Charles 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 25%
3 KENDLER Micah 100% 100% 99% 87% 52% 14% 1%
3 QU RuiTing 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 23%
5 KONG Ethan 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
6 BORAN Brooks 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 14%
7 WILKERSON Tobias 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 17%
8 YAO Ryan 100% 100% 99% 89% 51% 12%
9 PARY Jean Pierre 100% 100% 92% 63% 23% 3%
10 BAYUS Oliver 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
11 YU Jeremy 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 33% 6%
12 KONG Brandon 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
13 FAN Joy 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 9%
14 SIN William 100% 100% 98% 81% 36% 7% -
15 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 98% 85% 49% 14% 1%
16 YAO Aiden 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
17 FEELY Benjamin 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
18 WU Jiachen 100% 100% 99% 89% 48% 12% 1%
18 SHIN Jamie 100% 92% 57% 12% 1% - -
20 CHANG Hannah 100% 99% 91% 63% 23% 1%
21 GORDON Hannah 100% 90% 46% 12% 1% - -
22 ZHU Yiming 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 32%
23 MADDOX Elle 100% 98% 74% 30% 6% -
24 FENG Xinmin 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1%
25 CHAN Ian 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1%
26 MORET Teagan 100% 52% 13% 1% - -
27 MEROLLI Asaka 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
28 POLAGANI Krishiv 100% 100% 95% 33% 4% - -
29 BERARDINI Matteo 100% 96% 68% 17% 2% -
30 HAM Ian 100% 96% 73% 32% 7% -
31 MILLER Balthazar 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% -
32 LOPATIN Sergei 100% 96% 65% 23% 4% -
33 ZAMCHIYA Simukai 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
34 KWON Allison 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
35 KWON Claire 100% 89% 47% 13% 1% -
36 PARNELL Erin 100% 49% 11% 1% - -
37 GAUVEY Amelia 100% 31% 3% - - - -
38 FONS Amandine 100% 73% 25% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.