W&M Conomikes-Gutenberg Memorial Open

Div III Mixed Foil

Sunday, February 23, 2025 at 1:00 PM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 METZ Mason 100% 100% 100% 99% 81% 27%
2 PRUT Anton 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
3 MOREY Zachary D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 51%
3 PRICE Owen 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
5 HINDS David E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
6 FORMY DUVAL Christopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
7 SOPHRONIUS Jeddie 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
8 FERGUSON Sam C. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24% 2%
9 ZIMSKY James 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
10 SIMANDJUNTAK Joshua 100% 100% 95% 51% 12% 1% -
11 DEVINNEY Dale 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
12 NANAYAKKARA Dinuth 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
13 NANAYAKKARA Damin 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
14 HAVERSON Rana 100% 94% 65% 23% 3% -
15 SIMANJUNTAK Jocelyn 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
16 SAE-TUNG Kevin 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1%
17 SINGH Meet 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 4%
18 BORAN Connor 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
19 LAZAREANU Justin 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
20 INGLE Kate 100% 100% 95% 74% 31% 5% -
21 TERPENNING Sarah 100% 98% 76% 26% 4% -
22 BAYLESS Varnum 100% 83% 46% 15% 2% -
23 CONRAD Matthew 100% 91% 57% 18% 2% -
24 HO Debbie 100% 100% 93% 63% 14% -
24 SHELTON Fabian 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2%
26 TRUDEAU Allison 100% 65% 20% 3% - -
27 KELLEY Cullan 100% 100% 97% 78% 37% 7% -
28 SIMPSON Gavin 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 8%
29 MITCHELL Robert 100% 92% 56% 13% - -
30 BRUTON Vinton 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
31 AKKALE Reyhan 100% 98% 80% 39% 8% - -
32 DELEON Alyssia 100% 99% 92% 64% 26% 3%
33 SMITH IV Edward (Ted) A. 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7% -
34 JOHNSTON Ashlyn 100% 37% 6% - - - -
35 FIGLOZZI Cordelia 100% 54% 13% 1% - -
36 CRISPIN Haley 100% 98% 78% 19% 1% -
37 JORDAN Olivia 100% 97% 60% 18% 2% -
38 MAYER Abbey 100% 99% 74% 28% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.