8th Annual Sword in the Stone RYC and RJC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Sunday, February 23, 2025 at 3:00 PM

Jump Beyond Sports - Torrance, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Yidong A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
2 TANI Tino 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 79%
3 LEE Nathan Uju 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 62% 19%
3 LEE Brian 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 34%
5 SANCHEZ Jacob 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
6 HWANG Hagan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
7 DOOLEY Atticus 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3%
8 LIU Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 5%
9 XIAO Brayden 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
10 LI Linze 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 45%
11 BROWN Andrew 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 16%
12 MINASIAN Mason 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 65% 21%
13 ZHANG KAIQI 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 25%
14 PADGETTE BRODY 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 7% -
15 CHI Everett 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59% 16%
16 TALLARICO Leonardo 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 24%
17 IRVINE Patrick 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 9%
18 KANG Leo 100% 88% 52% 17% 2% - -
19 KIM Suin 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19% 2%
20 SUN Eon 100% 93% 66% 27% 5% -
21 GREENSTEIN Viktor 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 43%
22 QI Jeremy 100% 98% 81% 46% 15% 2%
23 GUO Jonathan 100% 100% 96% 74% 29% 5% -
24 FISCHER Noel 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 18% 2%
24 XIE Justin 100% 92% 60% 21% 3% - -
26 PONOTH Arnav 100% 84% 44% 12% 2% - -
27 SHEN Hudson 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 10% 1%
28 AN Chris 100% 49% 12% 2% - -
29 GONZALEZ Paul 100% 89% 55% 17% 2% -
30 QI Zach 100% 99% 88% 56% 17% 2%
31 LEE Bill King 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 9% -
32 YUEN Caleb 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 6%
33 SUN Ryan 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 12%
34 AMEN Oscar 100% 88% 53% 16% 2% -
35 ELSAYED Yahia 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
36 TENG Lucas 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% 1%
37 YANG Jake 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
38 LI Ryan 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 3%
39 NGUYEN Ethan 100% 80% 40% 10% 1% -
40 CHOI LIAM 100% 94% 69% 30% 6% -
41 NAZIF Laith 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% -
42 LO Elroy 100% 93% 63% 24% 4% -
43 LIANG Preston 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% -
44 SLOAN Ethan 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 3% -
45 WANG Ryan 100% 100% 94% 72% 32% 6% -
46 SINGH Swaran 100% 84% 41% 8% 1% - -
47 DING Orlando 100% 86% 48% 13% 1% -
48 FU BRANDEN 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 5%
49 LIU Clarence 100% 92% 63% 23% 3% -
50 ZHOU Ruibo 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
51 SAHA Aadi 100% 80% 37% 7% - - -
52 KIM Derek 100% 72% 28% 6% 1% - -
53 LEE Jayden 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1% -
54 WU Dustin 100% 68% 24% 4% - - -
55 KIM Leo 100% 91% 60% 22% 4% - -
56 KIM Enoch 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
57 WALKER Camden 100% 89% 51% 15% 2% - -
58 CHAO Stephen 100% 79% 34% 6% - - -
58 WU Allen 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.