ASU Spring Sun Devil Open

E & Under Mixed Épée

Saturday, March 1, 2025 at 12:30 PM

SDFC Gold Gym - Tempe, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MANDEL Christian 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 17%
2 PABLO Jesse 100% 100% 98% 84% 44% 7%
3 WELLING Cohen 100% 98% 84% 46% 9% 1%
3 ORELUP Austin 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 17%
5 GARRISON Ian 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
6 SAUCEDO Fernando 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
7 WOLCOTT Charlie A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 64% 21%
8 TROMBLEY Matthew 100% 100% 94% 65% 23% 2%
9 SARMIENTO Luke 100% 97% 79% 40% 9% 1%
10 BURTON Nicolas 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 63%
11 SANSAR Arjan 100% 100% 99% 86% 45% 12% 1%
12 FELDMAN Louis 100% 90% 55% 16% 1% -
13 MARIKOS Christina 100% 85% 40% 8% 1% - -
14 WELLING Michael 100% 93% 61% 20% 3% - -
15 ROLDAN Ethan 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
16 KELLEHER Cash 100% 83% 41% 9% - -
17 BARVICK Kathleen 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
18 WELLMAN Matthew 100% 76% 32% 6% - -
19 SANSAR Daya 100% 75% 22% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.