Event Results
Indiana University 18+ OpenSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | NOWAK Joseph A. | V V D D V | V V V V | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| 2 | BROWN-GRIMM Carl H. | V V V V D | V V V D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 3 | SCHEINGOLD Andrew P. | V V D V V | V V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 3 | KOZINSKI Allison E. | D V V V D | V V D | 1.7 | 3 | +1.3 |
| 5 | MUMFORD Josh | V V V V V | V D | 2.3 | 5 | +2.7 |
| 6 | SMITH Erick | V V V D V | V D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 7 | FREITAS DE OLIVEIRA Mariana | D V V V V | V D | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| 8 | AHLER Quin | D D V D D | V D | 0.3 | 1 | +0.7 |
| 9 | JAWABREH Qais | D V V V V | D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 10 | BATES Austin | D V V V D | D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 11 | METZ Evan | V D D V V | D | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| 12 | STENNIS Brendan | V D V D D | D | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| 13 | HERSCOVICI Aaron | V D D D V | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 14 | BAILEY Lauren | V D D V D | D | 0.8 | 2 | +1.2 |
| 15 | DRAPER Jason | D D D D V | V D | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| 16 | HARMON Philip R. | D D D D D | V D | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| 17 | CHRISTNER Eli | D D D D D | D | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| 18 | DAWES Nathaniel | D D D D D | D | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |